IBN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 3.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 0.8% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | +0.7% | 3.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +4.2% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-18 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -4.2% | -12.2% |
| 2026-01-17 miss | 0.38 | 0.34 | -8.7% | -3.0% | -4.4% | +0.8% | +3.2% |
| 2025-10-18 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +7.7% | -4.5% | -5.9% | +0.4% | +0.7% |
| 2025-07-19 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.2% | +2.6% | +3.0% | -1.1% | -3.9% |
| 2025-04-19 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.5% | +0.8% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-01-24 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +8.4% | +1.0% | +1.4% | +1.7% | -1.0% |
| 2024-10-26 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.5% | +4.1% | +5.7% | -3.1% | -0.4% |
| 2024-07-27 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +7.3% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -3.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-04-27 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.9% | +4.3% | +3.5% | +0.1% | -4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.