IBN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.1% | +1.2% | 4.4% | 74% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.4% | 7.3% | 68% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +4.2% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-18 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -4.2% | -12.2% |
| 2026-01-17 miss | 0.38 | 0.34 | -8.7% | -3.0% | -4.4% | +0.8% | +3.2% |
| 2025-10-18 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +7.7% | -4.5% | -5.9% | +0.4% | +0.7% |
| 2025-07-19 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.2% | +2.6% | +3.0% | -1.1% | -3.9% |
| 2025-04-19 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.5% | +0.8% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-01-24 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +8.4% | +1.0% | +1.4% | +1.7% | -1.0% |
| 2024-10-26 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.5% | +4.1% | +5.7% | -3.1% | -0.4% |
| 2024-07-27 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +7.3% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -3.3% | +0.8% |
| 2024-04-27 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.9% | +4.3% | +3.5% | +0.1% | -4.0% |
| 2024-01-20 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +3.8% | +1.6% | +2.5% | -1.0% | +4.2% |
| 2023-10-21 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.9% | +0.0% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2023-07-22 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -6.5% |
| 2023-01-21 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +1.6% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -7.0% | -6.9% |
| 2022-10-22 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -6.4% | +0.8% | +3.7% | -3.5% | +0.1% |
| 2022-07-23 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +7.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +8.0% |
| 2022-04-23 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +10.6% | +2.4% | +3.0% | -1.2% | -5.7% |
| 2022-01-22 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.7% | -1.2% | +0.3% | +3.0% | -6.9% |
| 2021-10-23 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -5.5% | +10.8% | +9.9% | -2.7% | -10.8% |
| 2021-07-24 miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -10.3% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +2.9% |
| 2021-04-24 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -8.9% | +3.0% | +5.7% | +2.4% | +10.9% |
| 2021-01-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +42.3% | +10.6% | +12.6% | +3.8% | +0.9% |
| 2020-10-31 miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -3.0% | +6.8% | +9.6% | +16.3% | +14.8% |
| 2020-07-25 beat | 0.06 | 0.11 | +83.6% | -5.7% | -4.2% | -5.6% | +8.4% |
| 2020-05-09 miss | 0.15 | 0.05 | -67.6% | -4.7% | -7.4% | -1.9% | +12.2% |
| 2020-01-25 miss | 0.18 | 0.18 | -3.0% | +1.0% | +0.9% | -2.4% | -2.4% |
| 2019-10-26 beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +52.7% | +0.2% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +6.4% |
| 2019-07-27 miss | 0.18 | 0.08 | -53.6% | +4.0% | +6.1% | -10.9% | -8.4% |
| 2019-05-06 miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -46.5% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -6.2% | +4.5% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +14.8% | +7.4% | +9.2% | -5.6% | -6.2% |
| 2018-10-26 beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +173.0% | +0.5% | +4.8% | +4.5% | +8.3% |
| 2018-07-27 miss | 0.07 | -0.01 | -108.5% | +1.9% | +4.4% | +2.5% | +11.7% |
| 2018-05-07 miss | 0.09 | 0.05 | -45.0% | +3.1% | +4.3% | +3.9% | -1.5% |
| 2018-01-31 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +12.9% | +0.7% | +1.0% | -5.8% | -14.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.