IBP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -0.3% | 12.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.9% | 1.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -1.8% | -2.2% | 3.2% | 30% |
| 5-day | -2.0% | +0.1% | 15.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 2.56 | 2.91 | +13.6% | +2.0% | +0.2% | +1.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 1.96 | 1.79 | -8.7% | -13.3% | -27.6% | +0.2% | -7.7% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 2.75 | 3.24 | +18.0% | +6.4% | +7.1% | -3.0% | -18.5% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 2.74 | 3.18 | +16.0% | +6.7% | +3.3% | +7.9% | +9.1% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 2.40 | 2.95 | +22.9% | +9.0% | +20.5% | +4.5% | +9.5% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 2.20 | 2.08 | -5.5% | -3.8% | -0.9% | -0.1% | +3.6% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 2.85 | 2.88 | +0.9% | +0.0% | -1.1% | +2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 2.98 | 2.85 | -4.4% | -3.2% | -4.6% | -4.3% | +0.4% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 2.88 | 2.84 | -1.6% | -6.4% | -12.7% | -9.0% | -5.8% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 2.29 | 2.47 | +8.0% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -8.4% | -11.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.