IBP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.3% | 8.8% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.8% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -0.6% | 3.3% | 43% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +3.1% | 10.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 2.56 | 2.91 | +13.6% | +2.0% | +0.2% | +1.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 1.96 | 1.79 | -8.7% | -13.3% | -27.6% | +0.2% | -7.7% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 2.75 | 3.24 | +18.0% | +6.4% | +7.1% | -3.0% | -18.5% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 2.74 | 3.18 | +16.0% | +6.7% | +3.3% | +7.9% | +9.1% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 2.40 | 2.95 | +22.9% | +9.0% | +20.5% | +4.5% | +9.5% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 2.20 | 2.08 | -5.5% | -3.8% | -0.9% | -0.1% | +3.6% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 2.85 | 2.88 | +0.9% | +0.0% | -1.1% | +2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 2.98 | 2.85 | -4.4% | -3.2% | -4.6% | -4.3% | +0.4% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 2.88 | 2.84 | -1.6% | -6.4% | -12.7% | -9.0% | -5.8% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 2.29 | 2.47 | +8.0% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -8.4% | -11.2% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 2.41 | 2.72 | +12.9% | +5.5% | +10.1% | +7.1% | +15.7% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 2.37 | 2.79 | +17.7% | -6.0% | -1.5% | +13.2% | +34.8% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 2.28 | 2.62 | +14.8% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +1.5% | -4.6% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 2.04 | 2.15 | +5.2% | -2.2% | -8.6% | +2.2% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 2.20 | 2.43 | +10.6% | +4.7% | +7.3% | +5.4% | -5.3% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 2.31 | 2.51 | +8.5% | -2.6% | -2.3% | +9.4% | +11.4% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 1.94 | 2.48 | +28.0% | +3.0% | +6.8% | -1.8% | -14.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 1.12 | 1.54 | +37.1% | -2.6% | +2.3% | +0.9% | +13.0% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.52 | 1.42 | -6.3% | -2.9% | -0.8% | +5.9% | -8.9% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 1.64 | 1.49 | -8.9% | -4.3% | -1.6% | +1.1% | +4.8% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 1.47 | 1.59 | +8.4% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +1.6% | +0.5% |
| 2021-05-07 miss | 1.04 | 0.90 | -13.5% | -9.9% | -7.5% | -3.3% | -5.0% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 1.23 | 1.23 | +0.3% | -6.0% | -8.6% | -2.9% | -3.3% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 1.18 | 1.21 | +2.5% | -2.2% | -1.7% | -6.0% | -5.8% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.75 | 1.12 | +49.7% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +4.6% | +4.5% |
| 2020-05-08 beat | 0.61 | 0.78 | +28.5% | +10.0% | +6.8% | -9.0% | +32.8% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.87 | 0.92 | +5.2% | -5.6% | -1.2% | +0.9% | -35.7% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 0.88 | 0.99 | +13.1% | +3.0% | +16.1% | -8.2% | -7.1% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.2% | +2.3% | +3.3% | -0.2% | -0.8% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.2% | -1.4% | +9.7% | +2.7% | -1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.