ICFI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | +0.6% | 9.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.6% | -1.8% | 2.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.7% | 2.5% | 70% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | +1.6% | 9.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.65 | 1.86 | +13.0% | +1.5% | +11.4% | -7.0% | -8.2% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 1.55 | 1.50 | -3.2% | +0.0% | -6.6% | -12.2% | +2.6% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 1.49 | 1.47 | -1.5% | -1.7% | +4.3% | -8.6% | -20.9% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 1.73 | 1.67 | -3.7% | -9.3% | -6.1% | +1.9% | +1.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.58 | 1.66 | +5.2% | +7.3% | +5.4% | +7.2% | +12.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.73 | 1.94 | +12.1% | +0.0% | -6.4% | +8.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 1.86 | 1.87 | +0.7% | -16.2% | -20.7% | +6.8% | +7.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.77 | 2.13 | +20.1% | +1.5% | -0.5% | +2.3% | -19.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.49 | 1.69 | +13.1% | +2.6% | +9.9% | -2.8% | +1.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.45 | 1.77 | +21.7% | +1.4% | +1.6% | +4.6% | -4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.