ICFI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 6.5% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 3.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 2.1% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +1.6% | 8.1% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.65 | 1.86 | +13.0% | +1.5% | +11.4% | -7.0% | -8.2% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 1.55 | 1.50 | -3.2% | +0.0% | -6.6% | -12.2% | +2.6% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 1.49 | 1.47 | -1.5% | -1.7% | +4.3% | -8.6% | -20.9% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 1.73 | 1.67 | -3.7% | -9.3% | -6.1% | +1.9% | +1.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.58 | 1.66 | +5.2% | +7.3% | +5.4% | +7.2% | +12.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.73 | 1.94 | +12.1% | +0.0% | -6.4% | +8.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 1.86 | 1.87 | +0.7% | -16.2% | -20.7% | +6.8% | +7.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.77 | 2.13 | +20.1% | +1.5% | -0.5% | +2.3% | -19.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.49 | 1.69 | +13.1% | +2.6% | +9.9% | -2.8% | +1.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.45 | 1.77 | +21.7% | +1.4% | +1.6% | +4.6% | -4.0% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 1.63 | 1.68 | +2.9% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.62 | 1.81 | +12.0% | +2.3% | +0.5% | +6.7% | +13.0% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.45 | 1.57 | +8.5% | -0.8% | +5.0% | +1.2% | +5.1% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 1.40 | 1.42 | +1.6% | +1.3% | +2.5% | -1.2% | +7.6% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 1.50 | 1.56 | +4.2% | +2.0% | +8.6% | +0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.45 | 1.61 | +11.4% | -0.9% | -10.0% | -1.7% | +3.6% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 1.33 | 1.33 | -0.2% | +0.5% | +5.0% | +1.8% | +0.9% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 1.06 | 1.31 | +23.6% | +0.4% | +0.9% | -5.1% | +1.9% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.4% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +1.1% | +6.2% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.12 | 1.32 | +18.4% | +1.0% | +4.2% | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.97 | 1.19 | +22.2% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +6.0% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.85 | 1.13 | +32.7% | +3.7% | +4.6% | -6.3% | -4.8% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.13 | 1.36 | +20.2% | +1.7% | -1.9% | +5.0% | +5.3% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.89 | 1.10 | +24.3% | +6.9% | +0.0% | +5.9% | +9.2% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.72 | 0.89 | +22.9% | +8.3% | +8.7% | -2.4% | -8.0% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.0% | -10.0% | -5.0% | -18.7% | +7.1% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 1.24 | 1.18 | -4.6% | -6.3% | -2.8% | +8.6% | -8.4% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 1.08 | 1.12 | +3.5% | +1.3% | +4.0% | -2.6% | +2.4% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.4% | +4.6% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -1.3% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.78 | 0.87 | +11.7% | +2.1% | -0.7% | -2.7% | -4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.