ICFI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.7% | 6.7% | 58% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 1.8% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +1.6% | 7.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.65 | 1.86 | +13.0% | +1.5% | +11.4% | -7.0% | -8.2% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 1.55 | 1.50 | -3.2% | +0.0% | -6.6% | -12.2% | +2.6% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 1.49 | 1.47 | -1.5% | -1.7% | +4.3% | -8.6% | -20.9% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 1.73 | 1.67 | -3.7% | -9.3% | -6.1% | +1.9% | +1.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.58 | 1.66 | +5.2% | +7.3% | +5.4% | +7.2% | +12.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.73 | 1.94 | +12.1% | +0.0% | -6.4% | +8.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 1.86 | 1.87 | +0.7% | -16.2% | -20.7% | +6.8% | +7.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.77 | 2.13 | +20.1% | +1.5% | -0.5% | +2.3% | -19.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.49 | 1.69 | +13.1% | +2.6% | +9.9% | -2.8% | +1.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.45 | 1.77 | +21.7% | +1.4% | +1.6% | +4.6% | -4.0% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 1.63 | 1.68 | +2.9% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.62 | 1.81 | +12.0% | +2.3% | +0.5% | +6.7% | +13.0% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.45 | 1.57 | +8.5% | -0.8% | +5.0% | +1.2% | +5.1% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 1.40 | 1.42 | +1.6% | +1.3% | +2.5% | -1.2% | +7.6% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 1.50 | 1.56 | +4.2% | +2.0% | +8.6% | +0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.45 | 1.61 | +11.4% | -0.9% | -10.0% | -1.7% | +3.6% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 1.33 | 1.33 | -0.2% | +0.5% | +5.0% | +1.8% | +0.9% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 1.06 | 1.31 | +23.6% | +0.4% | +0.9% | -5.1% | +1.9% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.4% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +1.1% | +6.2% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.12 | 1.32 | +18.4% | +1.0% | +4.2% | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.97 | 1.19 | +22.2% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +6.0% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.85 | 1.13 | +32.7% | +3.7% | +4.6% | -6.3% | -4.8% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.13 | 1.36 | +20.2% | +1.7% | -1.9% | +5.0% | +5.3% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.89 | 1.10 | +24.3% | +6.9% | +0.0% | +5.9% | +9.2% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.72 | 0.89 | +22.9% | +8.3% | +8.7% | -2.4% | -8.0% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.0% | -10.0% | -5.0% | -18.7% | +7.1% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 1.24 | 1.18 | -4.6% | -6.3% | -2.8% | +8.6% | -8.4% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 1.08 | 1.12 | +3.5% | +1.3% | +4.0% | -2.6% | +2.4% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.4% | +4.6% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -1.3% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.78 | 0.87 | +11.7% | +2.1% | -0.7% | -2.7% | -4.1% |
| 2019-02-26 miss | 1.21 | 1.17 | -3.1% | -0.9% | +3.8% | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| 2018-11-01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | — | +0.1% | -0.7% | -2.7% | -7.1% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 0.90 | 0.80 | -10.8% | +4.2% | +6.1% | -2.5% | +5.3% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.9% | -5.2% | -2.5% | +1.1% | +8.2% |
| 2018-02-27 beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +1.3% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +5.6% | +2.5% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.80 | 0.83 | +3.2% | +3.6% | -5.0% | +5.9% | +5.2% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.2% | +2.3% | +2.9% | -0.3% | +11.8% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +10.8% | +3.8% | +6.3% | -3.3% | -4.6% |
| 2017-02-27 miss | 0.81 | 0.76 | -6.2% | -4.6% | -16.4% | -2.0% | -4.8% |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.81 | 0.81 | — | +2.1% | +4.9% | +3.3% | +15.7% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.0% | +2.0% | +3.4% | -3.6% | +0.8% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.7% | -1.0% | +3.1% | +1.5% | +5.7% |
| 2016-03-07 miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -2.3% | -0.5% | -8.4% | +4.7% | +12.8% |
| 2015-10-30 miss | 0.78 | 0.75 | -3.9% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +4.6% | +18.2% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 0.68 | 0.63 | -6.8% | -0.7% | +10.8% | -1.3% | -6.7% |
| 2015-05-07 miss | 0.55 | 0.41 | -25.4% | -9.1% | -4.9% | +2.6% | +0.3% |
| 2015-02-26 miss | 0.56 | 0.51 | -9.2% | -0.7% | +0.9% | -1.8% | -1.3% |
| 2014-11-06 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +5.4% | +1.5% | +0.2% | +5.8% | +11.9% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -1.0% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -6.3% |
| 2014-05-07 miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -4.2% | -8.4% | -4.5% | -0.2% | +7.4% |
| 2014-02-26 | 0.40 | 0.40 | — | +9.5% | +18.8% | -1.3% | -5.4% |
| 2013-11-05 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +6.4% | +2.2% | -6.0% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2013-08-01 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.0% | +1.0% | +3.1% | -3.9% | -5.8% |
| 2013-05-03 beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +9.8% | +1.3% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +10.5% |
| 2013-02-27 | 0.47 | 0.47 | — | -0.6% | +2.5% | +4.9% | +7.5% |
| 2012-11-02 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +2.8% | +1.2% | +9.4% | +1.4% | +6.4% |
| 2012-08-02 miss | 0.54 | 0.52 | -3.3% | -16.7% | -8.3% | +1.9% | +2.5% |
| 2012-05-02 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.9% | -0.4% | -5.9% | -0.6% | +0.4% |
| 2012-02-29 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +9.0% | +1.0% | -4.0% | +2.6% | +2.0% |
| 2011-11-02 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +4.2% | -7.0% | +12.7% | -3.3% | +4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.