ICLR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -3.5% | 11.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.6% | 2.2% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.4% | 2.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -2.0% | 15.5% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.52 | 2.56 | +1.7% | -7.0% | -7.1% | -2.6% | +2.7% |
| 2026-06-23 beat | 2.43 | 2.50 | +3.0% | +3.6% | +10.9% | +10.7% | +4.8% |
| 2026-05-27 miss | 3.11 | 2.52 | -18.9% | -0.5% | +15.5% | +11.7% | +26.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 3.28 | 3.31 | +1.0% | -1.9% | -6.5% | -8.1% | -8.6% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 3.18 | 3.26 | +2.4% | +20.3% | +16.2% | -13.2% | -9.8% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 3.09 | 3.19 | +3.1% | -5.8% | -4.1% | -4.6% | -11.2% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 3.43 | 3.43 | +0.1% | +1.9% | +5.5% | -6.0% | -8.4% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 3.85 | 3.35 | -13.1% | -14.3% | -21.0% | +0.2% | -3.4% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 3.67 | 3.75 | +2.1% | -6.6% | -5.6% | +4.5% | +3.5% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 3.41 | 3.47 | +1.7% | +0.9% | -3.0% | +0.3% | +6.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.