ICLR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.9% | +2.5% | 7.0% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 2.6% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 1.9% | 48% |
| 5-day | +2.4% | +2.7% | 9.3% | 62% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.52 | 2.56 | +1.7% | -7.0% | -7.1% | -2.6% | +2.7% |
| 2026-06-23 beat | 2.43 | 2.50 | +3.0% | +3.6% | +10.9% | +10.7% | +4.8% |
| 2026-05-27 miss | 3.11 | 2.52 | -18.9% | -0.5% | +15.5% | +11.7% | +26.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 3.28 | 3.31 | +1.0% | -1.9% | -6.5% | -8.1% | -8.6% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 3.18 | 3.26 | +2.4% | +20.3% | +16.2% | -13.2% | -9.8% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 3.09 | 3.19 | +3.1% | -5.8% | -4.1% | -4.6% | -11.2% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 3.43 | 3.43 | +0.1% | +1.9% | +5.5% | -6.0% | -8.4% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 3.85 | 3.35 | -13.1% | -14.3% | -21.0% | +0.2% | -3.4% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 3.67 | 3.75 | +2.1% | -6.6% | -5.6% | +4.5% | +3.5% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 3.41 | 3.47 | +1.7% | +0.9% | -3.0% | +0.3% | +6.9% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 3.45 | 3.46 | +0.4% | +5.9% | +10.1% | +2.3% | +5.9% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 3.28 | 3.30 | +0.6% | +5.5% | +6.8% | +5.4% | +12.0% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 3.08 | 3.11 | +1.0% | -3.9% | -4.5% | +3.9% | +6.1% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 2.87 | 2.90 | +1.1% | +0.8% | -5.1% | -4.0% | +6.8% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 3.05 | 3.13 | +2.5% | +2.8% | +0.6% | +3.3% | -7.3% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 2.94 | 3.00 | +2.1% | +0.3% | +4.6% | +7.2% | +1.5% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 2.79 | 2.86 | +2.4% | +1.3% | +2.5% | -2.5% | -10.1% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 2.69 | 2.76 | +2.5% | +1.1% | +4.6% | +1.2% | +1.0% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 2.65 | 2.63 | -0.8% | -0.9% | -2.9% | +5.0% | +6.7% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 2.46 | 2.55 | +3.7% | -2.5% | +1.8% | -1.9% | -5.2% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 2.11 | 2.12 | +0.2% | -0.9% | -2.1% | +14.8% | +18.3% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 1.97 | 2.06 | +4.7% | +2.1% | +0.6% | +3.2% | +3.5% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 1.83 | 1.90 | +3.8% | -10.2% | -7.8% | -9.1% | -4.4% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 1.54 | 1.72 | +11.6% | +0.7% | -2.1% | -7.5% | -4.2% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 1.10 | 1.20 | +8.7% | -5.2% | -3.6% | -2.0% | -1.2% |
| 2020-04-22 miss | 1.70 | 1.70 | -0.0% | +3.6% | -5.8% | +7.8% | +11.8% |
| 2020-02-19 miss | 1.83 | 1.83 | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.9% | -8.9% | -29.5% |
| 2019-10-23 miss | 1.74 | 1.74 | -0.1% | +4.0% | +4.5% | +0.5% | +6.8% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.68 | 1.69 | +0.6% | +0.8% | +3.2% | -4.1% | -5.0% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 1.60 | 1.63 | +1.8% | +3.5% | +5.3% | -2.6% | -0.9% |
| 2019-02-20 beat | 1.61 | 1.62 | +0.9% | -2.0% | -2.6% | -1.5% | -6.5% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 1.54 | 1.54 | +0.1% | -0.4% | +3.2% | +3.1% | +0.1% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 1.48 | 1.51 | +1.8% | +2.9% | +3.5% | -0.8% | -0.3% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 1.41 | 1.44 | +1.9% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +4.8% | +9.9% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 1.42 | 1.43 | +1.0% | +1.2% | +3.3% | +0.9% | +7.3% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 1.32 | 1.35 | +2.4% | +2.0% | +8.8% | -1.9% | -5.1% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 1.30 | 1.31 | +1.0% | +2.3% | +6.4% | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 1.28 | 1.29 | +1.1% | +2.8% | +8.3% | +2.9% | +10.3% |
| 2017-02-16 beat | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.3% | +0.0% | +2.5% | -4.3% | -10.1% |
| 2016-10-20 beat | 1.18 | 1.19 | +0.8% | +1.9% | +8.0% | -5.0% | -10.1% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 1.14 | 1.14 | +0.0% | +2.7% | +4.7% | +2.4% | +0.6% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +0.7% | -2.6% | -7.6% | -4.9% | +0.6% |
| 2016-02-23 beat | 1.10 | 1.11 | +0.8% | +0.0% | -0.4% | +5.1% | +3.0% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +0.7% | -1.6% | -8.4% | +5.6% | +14.9% |
| 2015-07-28 beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +6.4% | +1.2% | +15.8% | +8.0% | +5.0% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +4.7% | +1.1% | -8.3% | -0.1% | +2.4% |
| 2015-02-25 beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +14.2% | +5.6% | +10.1% | +0.0% | +2.7% |
| 2014-10-22 beat | 0.70 | 0.79 | +12.7% | +3.7% | +0.2% | -5.6% | -5.0% |
| 2014-07-30 beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +10.4% | +6.5% | +8.8% | -1.6% | -1.8% |
| 2014-04-30 beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +14.3% | +8.7% | +0.2% | -0.7% | +9.0% |
| 2014-02-20 beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +16.9% | +5.3% | +9.9% | -2.6% | -2.7% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.2% | +5.9% | +10.4% | -7.5% | -12.8% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +13.8% | +0.0% | +2.4% | +2.0% | +0.2% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.5% | +22.8% | +9.2% | +1.9% | +4.8% |
| 2013-02-19 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.5% | +0.9% | +1.1% | +4.7% | +14.0% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.1% | +2.0% | +2.5% | +9.4% | +15.6% |
| 2012-07-24 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -3.5% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +6.3% | +1.7% |
| 2012-04-24 | 0.15 | 0.15 | — | -4.4% | +6.9% | -1.3% | -3.6% |
| 2012-02-16 miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -16.0% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +3.4% | +5.9% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +31.3% | -0.2% | +11.9% | -1.0% | -4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.