IDA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 1.6% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +1.1% | 3.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.78 | 1.79 | +0.8% | +1.4% | -1.7% | -0.7% | -4.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.10 | 1.21 | +10.4% | +1.5% | +2.4% | -3.1% | -8.6% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +6.6% | +1.8% | -2.4% | +4.0% | -2.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.26 | 2.26 | +0.1% | -0.3% | -2.0% | -2.4% | -0.6% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 1.78 | 1.76 | -1.0% | +1.3% | +2.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.05 | 1.10 | +5.0% | +1.4% | -1.5% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +11.8% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +2.0% | +1.3% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 2.18 | 2.12 | -2.5% | -2.0% | +1.3% | +7.5% | +12.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.38 | 1.71 | +23.5% | +2.3% | +4.7% | -0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 1.14 | 0.95 | -17.0% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +2.5% | -0.7% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.0% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.96 | 2.07 | +5.9% | +0.6% | +3.0% | -4.8% | -0.9% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.30 | 1.35 | +3.9% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -4.3% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.95 | 1.11 | +16.5% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -2.2% | -6.5% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 0.84 | 0.83 | -0.8% | +0.1% | +1.8% | +0.6% | +4.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 2.05 | 2.10 | +2.6% | +2.5% | -0.2% | +2.0% | +6.0% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 1.31 | 1.27 | -3.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.92 | 0.91 | -0.7% | +1.2% | -0.3% | +0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2022-02-17 miss | 0.67 | 0.65 | -3.4% | -1.3% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +6.5% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 1.99 | 1.93 | -2.9% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.23 | 1.38 | +12.2% | +0.5% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.81 | 0.89 | +9.9% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -3.3% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +9.6% | +0.3% | +1.7% | -0.2% | +13.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 1.92 | 2.02 | +5.2% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +3.2% | +2.7% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 1.21 | 1.19 | -1.4% | -1.6% | -1.6% | -2.3% | -5.1% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.81 | 0.74 | -8.1% | -2.8% | -2.6% | -3.1% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.77 | 0.93 | +20.8% | -0.4% | -0.2% | -7.6% | -32.9% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 1.93 | 1.78 | -7.8% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -4.1% | -3.4% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 1.15 | 1.05 | -8.7% | +1.4% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +5.9% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.71 | 0.84 | +18.9% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +2.1% | +3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.