IDA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 58% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +0.3% | 3.1% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.78 | 1.79 | +0.8% | +1.4% | -1.7% | -0.7% | -4.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.10 | 1.21 | +10.4% | +1.5% | +2.4% | -3.1% | -8.6% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +6.6% | +1.8% | -2.4% | +4.0% | -2.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.26 | 2.26 | +0.1% | -0.3% | -2.0% | -2.4% | -0.6% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 1.78 | 1.76 | -1.0% | +1.3% | +2.3% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.05 | 1.10 | +5.0% | +1.4% | -1.5% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +11.8% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +2.0% | +1.3% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 2.18 | 2.12 | -2.5% | -2.0% | +1.3% | +7.5% | +12.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.38 | 1.71 | +23.5% | +2.3% | +4.7% | -0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 1.14 | 0.95 | -17.0% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +2.5% | -0.7% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.0% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.96 | 2.07 | +5.9% | +0.6% | +3.0% | -4.8% | -0.9% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.30 | 1.35 | +3.9% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -4.3% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.95 | 1.11 | +16.5% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -2.2% | -6.5% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 0.84 | 0.83 | -0.8% | +0.1% | +1.8% | +0.6% | +4.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 2.05 | 2.10 | +2.6% | +2.5% | -0.2% | +2.0% | +6.0% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 1.31 | 1.27 | -3.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.92 | 0.91 | -0.7% | +1.2% | -0.3% | +0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2022-02-17 miss | 0.67 | 0.65 | -3.4% | -1.3% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +6.5% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 1.99 | 1.93 | -2.9% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.23 | 1.38 | +12.2% | +0.5% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.81 | 0.89 | +9.9% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -3.3% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +9.6% | +0.3% | +1.7% | -0.2% | +13.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 1.92 | 2.02 | +5.2% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +3.2% | +2.7% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 1.21 | 1.19 | -1.4% | -1.6% | -1.6% | -2.3% | -5.1% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.81 | 0.74 | -8.1% | -2.8% | -2.6% | -3.1% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.77 | 0.93 | +20.8% | -0.4% | -0.2% | -7.6% | -32.9% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 1.93 | 1.78 | -7.8% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -4.1% | -3.4% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 1.15 | 1.05 | -8.7% | +1.4% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +5.9% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.71 | 0.84 | +18.9% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +2.1% | +3.1% |
| 2019-02-21 | 0.52 | 0.52 | — | -0.1% | +0.8% | -0.7% | +0.9% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 1.75 | 2.02 | +15.3% | +4.3% | +2.6% | +2.1% | +3.9% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 1.11 | 1.23 | +10.6% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +3.8% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 0.70 | 0.72 | +3.6% | -0.1% | +2.5% | -4.2% | -6.7% |
| 2018-02-22 beat | 0.68 | 0.77 | +14.1% | +0.3% | +0.4% | -1.7% | +1.7% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 1.66 | 1.80 | +8.7% | +0.7% | +1.4% | +2.9% | +5.7% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | 1.07 | 0.99 | -7.5% | -1.5% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.54 | 0.66 | +23.4% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -1.1% | +5.5% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +8.2% | +0.2% | +1.8% | +1.1% | +1.0% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 1.59 | 1.65 | +4.1% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +3.8% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.99 | 1.12 | +13.5% | +0.6% | +0.8% | -1.0% | -6.2% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -3.8% | -1.4% | +0.1% | +0.8% | +0.1% |
| 2016-02-18 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.1% | -0.5% | +2.5% | +3.0% | +2.8% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | 1.54 | 1.46 | -5.4% | -1.1% | -2.5% | +1.1% | +2.4% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 1.07 | 1.31 | +22.1% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -0.5% | -1.8% |
| 2015-04-30 miss | 0.58 | 0.47 | -19.0% | -2.0% | -2.4% | -2.0% | -1.7% |
| 2015-02-19 beat | 0.58 | 0.68 | +17.2% | +0.3% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 1.55 | 1.73 | +11.6% | +1.3% | +2.6% | -2.0% | -1.3% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.7% | +3.4% | -1.1% | -2.2% | +5.9% |
| 2014-05-01 miss | 0.64 | 0.55 | -14.1% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.6% | -3.6% |
| 2014-02-20 beat | 0.49 | 0.55 | +12.2% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2013-11-05 miss | 1.65 | 1.43 | -13.2% | -0.1% | -1.6% | +0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2013-08-01 beat | 0.68 | 0.91 | +33.3% | +3.7% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -9.5% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 0.55 | 0.67 | +21.8% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +0.1% |
| 2013-02-21 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.7% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +1.4% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 1.55 | 1.84 | +18.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | 0.51 | 0.71 | +38.3% | +1.2% | +1.0% | +0.8% | -0.9% |
| 2012-05-03 miss | 0.59 | 0.50 | -14.5% | -0.6% | -2.2% | +0.3% | -0.5% |
| 2012-02-22 miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -11.1% | -1.2% | -0.2% | -2.2% | -2.6% |
| 2011-11-03 beat | 1.48 | 2.16 | +46.2% | +0.9% | +3.7% | -1.8% | -1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.