IFF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.8% | 8.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +2.0% | 7.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 1.12 | 0.82 | -26.6% | +3.6% | +8.9% | -4.8% | -1.8% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.07 | 1.25 | +16.5% | +14.2% | +17.2% | -6.6% | -12.0% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.8% | +2.5% | +5.9% | -0.1% | -14.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +3.3% | +2.0% | +4.1% | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.5% | +4.7% | -6.3% | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 1.14 | 1.20 | +5.7% | -2.0% | -7.1% | +1.4% | +4.5% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.82 | 0.97 | +17.6% | -6.3% | -5.2% | -1.7% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 1.08 | 1.04 | -3.3% | -4.1% | -11.6% | +2.6% | +1.5% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.97 | 1.16 | +19.5% | +2.8% | -2.4% | +2.7% | +9.3% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.87 | 1.13 | +30.0% | +4.4% | +6.4% | +2.4% | +3.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.