IFF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -0.5% | 6.8% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.5% | 2.3% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 48% |
| 5-day | -1.2% | +0.3% | 7.1% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 1.12 | 0.82 | -26.6% | +3.6% | +8.9% | -4.8% | -1.8% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.07 | 1.25 | +16.5% | +14.2% | +17.2% | -6.6% | -12.0% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.8% | +2.5% | +5.9% | -0.1% | -14.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +3.3% | +2.0% | +4.1% | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.5% | +4.7% | -6.3% | +0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 1.14 | 1.20 | +5.7% | -2.0% | -7.1% | +1.4% | +4.5% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.82 | 0.97 | +17.6% | -6.3% | -5.2% | -1.7% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 1.08 | 1.04 | -3.3% | -4.1% | -11.6% | +2.6% | +1.5% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.97 | 1.16 | +19.5% | +2.8% | -2.4% | +2.7% | +9.3% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.87 | 1.13 | +30.0% | +4.4% | +6.4% | +2.4% | +3.8% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 0.77 | 0.72 | -6.1% | -9.2% | -6.4% | -4.6% | +8.5% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.75 | 0.89 | +19.2% | +7.8% | -1.0% | +2.9% | +7.6% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | 1.11 | 0.86 | -22.3% | -22.0% | -19.4% | -0.3% | +6.8% |
| 2023-05-08 miss | 0.89 | 0.87 | -1.8% | -3.9% | -7.0% | -10.2% | -11.7% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +0.7% | -7.5% | -18.7% | +5.1% | -8.5% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 1.33 | 1.36 | +2.1% | -2.9% | -5.0% | +7.1% | +17.8% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 1.45 | 1.54 | +6.2% | -0.5% | -5.9% | +3.7% | -5.0% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 1.36 | 1.69 | +24.6% | +3.8% | +5.0% | +3.5% | +4.2% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 1.03 | 1.10 | +6.7% | +0.5% | +2.9% | -0.5% | -14.6% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 1.39 | 1.47 | +5.7% | -1.0% | +3.8% | -0.1% | -3.7% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.1% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +3.8% | -0.7% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 1.55 | 1.60 | +3.5% | -0.7% | -2.8% | +2.4% | +6.5% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 1.19 | 1.32 | +10.7% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-11-09 miss | 1.46 | 1.40 | -3.9% | -2.8% | +0.1% | +1.8% | +0.1% |
| 2020-08-10 beat | 1.31 | 1.36 | +4.1% | +0.8% | -4.0% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 2020-05-11 beat | 1.59 | 1.62 | +2.2% | +5.0% | +0.5% | -3.4% | -5.3% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 1.44 | 1.46 | +1.5% | -6.0% | -1.9% | -3.3% | -25.8% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 1.52 | 1.53 | +0.3% | +1.9% | +8.4% | -2.9% | +5.4% |
| 2019-08-05 beat | 1.60 | 1.61 | +0.6% | -11.9% | -15.9% | -0.2% | -3.7% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | 1.51 | 1.57 | +3.7% | +0.8% | -2.0% | +0.7% | +10.0% |
| 2019-02-13 miss | 1.30 | 1.22 | -6.0% | -5.5% | -8.6% | -3.3% | -5.8% |
| 2018-11-05 beat | 1.52 | 1.54 | +1.6% | -1.4% | +1.8% | -3.9% | -7.9% |
| 2018-08-07 beat | 1.59 | 1.66 | +4.5% | +0.3% | +0.0% | -2.3% | -5.4% |
| 2018-05-07 beat | 1.60 | 1.69 | +5.9% | -3.7% | -10.7% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2018-02-14 beat | 1.30 | 1.40 | +7.4% | -4.1% | -0.6% | +1.2% | -4.3% |
| 2017-11-06 beat | 1.42 | 1.47 | +3.9% | +4.5% | +2.4% | +0.4% | +2.2% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 1.46 | 1.50 | +2.8% | +1.2% | +3.7% | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2017-05-08 beat | 1.51 | 1.52 | +0.4% | -2.6% | -6.1% | +3.2% | +5.2% |
| 2017-02-15 miss | 1.22 | 1.22 | -0.2% | +1.4% | +4.1% | +0.8% | +9.2% |
| 2016-11-07 miss | 1.42 | 1.34 | -5.8% | -5.1% | -3.9% | -6.3% | -0.2% |
| 2016-08-08 beat | 1.40 | 1.47 | +4.7% | +2.8% | +2.8% | -1.7% | +1.6% |
| 2016-05-09 beat | 1.40 | 1.47 | +5.2% | +1.8% | +5.3% | +1.0% | +2.8% |
| 2016-02-10 miss | 1.15 | 1.05 | -8.4% | -12.9% | -12.9% | +4.9% | +9.8% |
| 2015-11-09 beat | 1.35 | 1.39 | +2.6% | -1.1% | -0.4% | +1.6% | +4.1% |
| 2015-08-10 beat | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.2% | -2.8% | -4.0% | +1.3% | -6.0% |
| 2015-05-12 beat | 1.43 | 1.45 | +1.6% | -3.0% | -4.1% | +1.3% | -2.6% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +4.1% | +2.2% | +7.3% | +5.8% | +3.7% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | 1.32 | 1.32 | +0.2% | -2.0% | -2.7% | +4.5% | +8.1% |
| 2014-08-05 beat | 1.36 | 1.37 | +0.6% | -3.9% | -5.3% | +3.1% | +4.9% |
| 2014-05-06 beat | 1.25 | 1.32 | +5.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +2.4% |
| 2014-02-13 miss | 0.94 | 0.92 | -1.6% | +0.6% | +2.8% | +0.9% | +3.3% |
| 2013-11-05 beat | 1.18 | 1.22 | +3.7% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +3.9% | +0.6% |
| 2013-08-06 miss | 1.18 | 1.14 | -3.0% | +2.7% | +0.6% | +0.4% | -4.1% |
| 2013-05-07 beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +6.4% | -0.9% | +1.6% | +2.5% | -1.0% |
| 2013-02-07 miss | 0.86 | 0.83 | -4.0% | -2.1% | +2.1% | +1.6% | +3.4% |
| 2012-11-06 beat | 1.08 | 1.08 | +0.5% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -3.4% | +0.6% |
| 2012-08-08 beat | 1.03 | 1.08 | +5.2% | +0.9% | +9.7% | -0.9% | -1.2% |
| 2012-05-08 miss | 1.00 | 1.00 | -0.2% | -3.3% | -1.4% | -2.2% | -4.4% |
| 2012-02-09 beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.8% | +3.7% | +1.7% | -1.6% | -2.1% |
| 2011-11-08 miss | 1.04 | 1.00 | -3.5% | -6.2% | -10.2% | -2.3% | -3.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.