IHS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +0.2% | 9.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 5.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.7% | +1.1% | 2.7% | 80% |
| 5-day | +6.6% | +0.8% | 20.1% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 miss | 0.12 | -0.04 | -133.3% | +0.5% | +0.1% | +0.2% | — |
| 2026-03-16 miss | 0.11 | -0.23 | -316.4% | +0.1% | -1.2% | +1.7% | +2.0% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 0.13 | 0.44 | +230.1% | +12.5% | +2.2% | -8.0% | +6.8% |
| 2025-08-12 beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +121.4% | -4.6% | +8.5% | -6.8% | +0.3% |
| 2025-05-20 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +18.4% | +0.5% | -11.0% | -6.1% | +3.8% |
| 2025-03-18 beat | 0.08 | 0.73 | +811.1% | +3.6% | +13.3% | +20.8% | +14.9% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | 0.08 | -0.61 | -894.3% | +2.9% | -4.7% | +6.1% | +23.5% |
| 2024-08-13 miss | 0.12 | -0.36 | -390.6% | +0.0% | +17.1% | +6.7% | -4.9% |
| 2024-05-14 miss | -0.04 | -4.67 | -12508.0% | -9.9% | -14.0% | -1.8% | +2.4% |
| 2024-03-12 miss | — | -1.36 | -30393.3% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +38.5% | +40.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.