IHS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.2% | 9.2% | 58% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.4% | 4.6% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 2.8% | 53% |
| 5-day | +3.2% | +0.5% | 16.7% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 miss | 0.12 | -0.04 | -133.3% | +0.5% | +0.1% | +0.2% | — |
| 2026-03-16 miss | 0.11 | -0.23 | -316.4% | +0.1% | -1.2% | +1.7% | +2.0% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 0.13 | 0.44 | +230.1% | +12.5% | +2.2% | -8.0% | +6.8% |
| 2025-08-12 beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +121.4% | -4.6% | +8.5% | -6.8% | +0.3% |
| 2025-05-20 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +18.4% | +0.5% | -11.0% | -6.1% | +3.8% |
| 2025-03-18 beat | 0.08 | 0.73 | +811.1% | +3.6% | +13.3% | +20.8% | +14.9% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | 0.08 | -0.61 | -894.3% | +2.9% | -4.7% | +6.1% | +23.5% |
| 2024-08-13 miss | 0.12 | -0.36 | -390.6% | +0.0% | +17.1% | +6.7% | -4.9% |
| 2024-05-14 miss | -0.04 | -4.67 | -12508.0% | -9.9% | -14.0% | -1.8% | +2.4% |
| 2024-03-12 miss | — | -1.36 | -30393.3% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +38.5% | +40.1% |
| 2023-11-14 miss | 0.03 | -0.79 | -3139.6% | -3.6% | -4.8% | -7.5% | -17.4% |
| 2023-08-15 miss | 0.15 | -3.73 | -2621.1% | -4.0% | -7.7% | -6.3% | -33.7% |
| 2023-05-23 miss | 0.24 | 0.03 | -87.6% | +0.9% | -5.1% | +2.1% | +5.7% |
| 2023-03-28 miss | 0.05 | -0.82 | -1685.8% | +3.4% | +20.3% | -1.6% | +9.8% |
| 2022-11-15 miss | 0.06 | -0.14 | -348.1% | +0.5% | +7.5% | +4.3% | -12.7% |
| 2022-08-16 miss | -0.05 | -0.44 | -766.7% | -3.7% | -8.1% | -8.7% | -14.1% |
| 2022-05-17 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +4.4% | +2.9% | +4.8% | -0.3% | -9.2% |
| 2022-03-15 beat | -0.20 | -0.12 | +42.4% | +7.5% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +20.6% |
| 2021-11-16 beat | — | 0.10 | +12092.8% | -1.1% | +0.4% | -1.3% | -17.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.