ILMN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -2.4% | 10.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | -0.6% | 4.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.1% | -1.1% | 2.6% | 30% |
| 5-day | -1.7% | -5.8% | 12.7% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.23 | 1.31 | +6.8% | -0.9% | +0.0% | -8.4% | +4.2% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.05 | 1.15 | +9.0% | +5.1% | +7.1% | +4.5% | +19.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.23 | 1.35 | +9.7% | -5.7% | -10.4% | -2.4% | +2.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.17 | 1.34 | +14.7% | +8.0% | +24.8% | -1.3% | +3.2% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.01 | 1.19 | +17.7% | -9.8% | -7.8% | -0.1% | +3.3% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.3% | -0.1% | -4.8% | +10.4% | +16.1% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.92 | 0.86 | -6.8% | -9.4% | -9.6% | -9.7% | -23.9% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.88 | 1.14 | +29.0% | -3.5% | +1.0% | -4.7% | -9.7% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.90 | 0.36 | -60.0% | +3.0% | +4.1% | +1.0% | +2.7% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -15.1% | +2.5% | -4.9% | -6.3% | -13.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.