ILMN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.6% | -4.3% | 8.6% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -1.8% | 4.7% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 2.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | -4.3% | -8.2% | 11.2% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.23 | 1.31 | +6.8% | -0.9% | +0.0% | -8.4% | +4.2% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.05 | 1.15 | +9.0% | +5.1% | +7.1% | +4.5% | +19.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.23 | 1.35 | +9.7% | -5.7% | -10.4% | -2.4% | +2.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.17 | 1.34 | +14.7% | +8.0% | +24.8% | -1.3% | +3.2% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.01 | 1.19 | +17.7% | -9.8% | -7.8% | -0.1% | +3.3% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.3% | -0.1% | -4.8% | +10.4% | +16.1% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.92 | 0.86 | -6.8% | -9.4% | -9.6% | -9.7% | -23.9% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.88 | 1.14 | +29.0% | -3.5% | +1.0% | -4.7% | -9.7% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.90 | 0.36 | -60.0% | +3.0% | +4.1% | +1.0% | +2.7% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -15.1% | +2.5% | -4.9% | -6.3% | -13.5% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +17.6% | +0.3% | -3.8% | +4.0% | -3.7% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.14 | 0.33 | +135.1% | -12.1% | -8.0% | -4.1% | +19.6% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.32 | +1326.0% | -3.0% | +0.3% | -8.3% | -16.4% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +198.2% | -1.0% | -3.5% | -6.8% | -8.3% |
| 2023-02-07 miss | 0.19 | 0.14 | -24.8% | -3.0% | -8.0% | +7.8% | -2.3% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +13.2% | -2.5% | +5.9% | +8.2% | -8.2% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | 0.64 | 0.57 | -11.6% | -11.9% | -8.4% | -2.7% | -4.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.89 | 1.07 | +20.8% | -3.0% | -14.6% | -6.2% | -6.4% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 0.49 | 0.75 | +54.5% | -4.2% | -7.6% | -5.7% | -5.5% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.22 | 1.45 | +19.1% | +0.3% | -3.2% | -6.0% | -9.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.