INTC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.7% | -7.3% | 13.5% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.5% | 3.4% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.7% | 3.3% | 30% |
| 5-day | -1.6% | -7.2% | 22.7% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.22 | 0.42 | +94.6% | +0.1% | -7.9% | -2.3% | -5.5% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.01 | 0.29 | +2108.7% | +23.1% | +23.6% | +20.7% | +49.6% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.08 | 0.15 | +81.5% | -13.7% | -17.0% | +3.1% | +2.3% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.01 | 0.23 | +3162.4% | +4.9% | +0.3% | +4.5% | -6.5% |
| 2025-07-24 miss | 0.01 | -0.10 | -1169.5% | -8.6% | -8.5% | -6.7% | +18.6% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | — | 0.13 | +2769.8% | -8.2% | -6.7% | +2.8% | +2.5% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +8.7% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -1.7% | +9.8% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -0.03 | -0.46 | -1533.5% | +6.9% | +7.8% | +12.9% | -3.1% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.10 | 0.02 | -80.2% | -24.5% | -26.1% | -8.2% | -6.4% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +31.7% | -9.5% | -9.2% | -3.1% | -2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.