INTC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -2.1% | 8.0% | 43% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 1.9% | 32% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.5% | 2.0% | 38% |
| 5-day | -1.9% | -2.4% | 11.1% | 38% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.22 | 0.42 | +94.6% | +0.1% | -7.9% | -2.3% | -5.5% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.01 | 0.29 | +2108.7% | +23.1% | +23.6% | +20.7% | +49.6% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.08 | 0.15 | +81.5% | -13.7% | -17.0% | +3.1% | +2.3% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.01 | 0.23 | +3162.4% | +4.9% | +0.3% | +4.5% | -6.5% |
| 2025-07-24 miss | 0.01 | -0.10 | -1169.5% | -8.6% | -8.5% | -6.7% | +18.6% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | — | 0.13 | +2769.8% | -8.2% | -6.7% | +2.8% | +2.5% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +8.7% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -1.7% | +9.8% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | -0.03 | -0.46 | -1533.5% | +6.9% | +7.8% | +12.9% | -3.1% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.10 | 0.02 | -80.2% | -24.5% | -26.1% | -8.2% | -6.4% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +31.7% | -9.5% | -9.2% | -3.1% | -2.6% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.45 | 0.54 | +20.3% | -10.8% | -11.9% | -2.4% | -2.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.22 | 0.41 | +87.0% | +6.6% | +9.3% | +7.3% | +24.5% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | -0.03 | 0.13 | +546.4% | +6.4% | +6.6% | -4.6% | -8.7% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | -0.14 | -0.04 | +72.2% | +7.1% | +4.0% | -0.2% | -3.4% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | 0.20 | 0.10 | -50.5% | -10.0% | -6.4% | +7.7% | -11.5% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.33 | 0.59 | +80.0% | +7.3% | +10.7% | -3.0% | -0.6% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 0.70 | 0.29 | -58.3% | -10.4% | -8.6% | -2.5% | -9.3% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.80 | 0.87 | +9.2% | -3.9% | -6.9% | +1.6% | +1.9% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.91 | 1.09 | +19.8% | -3.3% | -7.0% | +0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 1.11 | 1.71 | +53.6% | -10.0% | -11.7% | -0.9% | +0.7% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 1.07 | 1.28 | +19.3% | -2.5% | -5.3% | +1.4% | +0.4% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 1.14 | 1.39 | +21.7% | -5.4% | -5.3% | -2.9% | -3.8% |
| 2021-01-21 beat | 1.11 | 1.52 | +36.9% | -5.8% | -9.3% | -2.0% | +7.9% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 1.11 | 1.11 | +0.2% | -10.3% | -10.6% | -8.1% | -4.4% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 1.11 | 1.23 | +10.6% | -13.7% | -16.2% | -5.7% | -2.9% |
| 2020-04-23 beat | 1.26 | 1.45 | +14.9% | -4.8% | +0.4% | -3.0% | +5.2% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 1.25 | 1.52 | +21.4% | +5.1% | +8.1% | -6.6% | -12.8% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 1.24 | 1.42 | +14.6% | +3.8% | +8.1% | +0.1% | +4.2% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.90 | 1.06 | +18.0% | +1.0% | -1.1% | -5.6% | -11.7% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +2.4% | -8.5% | -9.0% | -1.3% | -16.9% |
| 2019-01-24 beat | 1.22 | 1.28 | +4.6% | -5.8% | -5.5% | +3.6% | +13.2% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 1.15 | 1.40 | +21.9% | +2.9% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +5.2% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.97 | 1.04 | +7.0% | -6.5% | -8.6% | +4.1% | +1.4% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.72 | 0.87 | +21.1% | +4.5% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +4.9% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.87 | 1.08 | +24.7% | +6.8% | +10.6% | -7.8% | -0.3% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.80 | 1.01 | +25.8% | +4.7% | +7.4% | +4.4% | +0.7% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +6.0% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +2.8% | -1.9% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +2.0% | -3.6% | -3.4% | +1.9% | +0.1% |
| 2017-01-26 beat | 0.75 | 0.79 | +5.7% | +1.2% | +1.1% | -3.8% | -4.7% |
| 2016-10-18 beat | 0.72 | 0.80 | +10.7% | -4.5% | -5.9% | -1.7% | -1.4% |
| 2016-07-20 beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +10.8% | -3.8% | -4.0% | +1.5% | +2.8% |
| 2016-04-19 beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +12.8% | -0.9% | +1.3% | -0.8% | -7.4% |
| 2016-01-14 beat | 0.63 | 0.74 | +17.0% | -9.2% | -9.1% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2015-10-13 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +8.8% | -2.0% | +2.4% | +1.7% | -1.2% |
| 2015-07-15 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +10.1% | +2.6% | +0.7% | -4.3% | -2.9% |
| 2015-04-27 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.8% | -0.6% | +1.6% | -1.2% | +3.0% |
| 2015-01-15 beat | 0.66 | 0.74 | +12.1% | -0.2% | +0.7% | -1.8% | -6.0% |
| 2014-10-14 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +2.0% | -5.0% | -2.7% | +3.2% | +7.7% |
| 2014-07-15 beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +5.1% | +5.0% | +9.3% | -0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2014-04-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.9% | -0.3% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +2.1% |
| 2014-01-16 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -2.3% | -4.4% | -2.6% | -4.4% | -5.2% |
| 2013-10-15 beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +9.1% | -0.6% | +1.3% | +0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2013-07-17 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -1.5% | -2.8% | -3.8% | -0.8% | -5.7% |
| 2013-04-16 miss | 0.44 | 0.40 | -8.8% | -0.6% | +0.0% | +7.9% | +9.2% |
| 2013-01-17 beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +3.7% | -5.8% | -6.3% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 2012-10-16 beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +14.9% | -4.8% | -2.5% | -1.5% | -7.1% |
| 2012-07-17 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +4.2% | -0.7% | +3.3% | -4.1% | +1.4% |
| 2012-04-17 beat | 0.53 | 0.56 | +6.1% | -3.1% | -1.8% | -0.3% | -6.3% |
| 2012-01-19 beat | 0.63 | 0.68 | +7.1% | +0.9% | +2.9% | +1.3% | +3.0% |
| 2011-10-18 beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +13.2% | +2.6% | +3.6% | +1.9% | +0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.