IONQ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +6.7% | +4.1% | 15.3% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | -0.1% | 7.5% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | +0.3% | 7.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | +6.6% | +7.1% | 20.0% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | -0.60 | -5.08 | -748.6% | +3.6% | -0.5% | +13.2% | -0.5% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -0.24 | -0.34 | -38.9% | -4.8% | -9.3% | +20.5% | +31.7% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | -0.47 | 1.93 | +508.5% | +16.3% | +21.7% | -11.9% | -32.7% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | -0.44 | -3.58 | -713.6% | +3.4% | +3.6% | -20.9% | -5.3% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | -0.14 | -0.14 | -2.9% | -5.5% | -1.8% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -13.0% | +8.9% | +9.3% | +2.2% | +25.8% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | -0.25 | -0.93 | -272.0% | -6.3% | -16.8% | -17.8% | -8.3% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | -0.23 | -0.24 | -5.9% | -0.1% | +34.4% | +18.3% | +54.9% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -0.22 | -0.18 | +18.2% | +6.5% | +4.6% | +4.4% | -6.9% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -0.25 | -0.19 | +24.0% | +3.1% | +4.8% | -5.3% | -10.7% |
| 2024-02-28 miss | -0.18 | -0.20 | -9.9% | +4.0% | -8.0% | +5.2% | -3.6% |
| 2023-11-08 miss | -0.10 | -0.18 | -87.5% | -2.0% | -1.6% | +8.6% | +16.2% |
| 2023-08-10 miss | -0.08 | -0.14 | -67.9% | +5.3% | +10.7% | -14.6% | +22.9% |
| 2023-05-11 miss | -0.09 | -0.12 | -31.8% | -9.0% | -9.5% | +39.8% | +67.4% |
| 2023-03-30 beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +30.8% | +5.3% | +21.1% | +11.4% | -13.7% |
| 2022-11-14 miss | -0.08 | -0.12 | -43.9% | -2.8% | -5.7% | -14.2% | -30.8% |
| 2022-08-15 beat | -0.10 | -0.01 | +90.2% | +11.8% | +31.8% | -23.3% | -31.3% |
| 2022-05-16 miss | -0.06 | -0.09 | -50.2% | +7.2% | +17.5% | -5.6% | -16.6% |
| 2022-03-28 beat | -0.10 | -0.06 | +44.0% | +0.9% | -5.7% | +1.1% | -32.9% |
| 2021-11-15 miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -9.1% | -0.8% | +33.1% | -5.4% | -39.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.