IP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -1.2% | 5.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 1.8% | 70% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -1.6% | 7.3% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | -0.04 | 0.04 | +205.4% | +3.2% | +1.2% | -6.1% | -8.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +5.4% | -5.9% | -9.4% | +8.7% | +10.7% |
| 2026-01-29 miss | 0.25 | -0.08 | -131.9% | +0.9% | -6.0% | +13.8% | +10.0% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.59 | -0.43 | -173.0% | -3.5% | -12.7% | -5.4% | +1.4% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.41 | 0.20 | -51.1% | -4.8% | -12.8% | +2.8% | +6.3% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 0.37 | 0.23 | -38.0% | -7.5% | -4.1% | -3.6% | +4.7% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 0.01 | -0.02 | -300.0% | -4.8% | -1.6% | -2.3% | -3.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.25 | 0.44 | +74.8% | +7.1% | +13.3% | +5.2% | +5.3% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.42 | 0.55 | +31.9% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +3.6% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.22 | 0.17 | -23.3% | -2.7% | -2.6% | +6.8% | +35.6% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 0.35 | 0.41 | +18.8% | -0.3% | -4.1% | +1.5% | +4.5% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +10.3% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +3.6% | +3.8% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.39 | 0.59 | +53.1% | +2.2% | +4.8% | +3.4% | -4.2% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.46 | 0.53 | +14.4% | -3.2% | -4.5% | -3.7% | -7.2% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 0.69 | 0.87 | +25.3% | +4.9% | +10.7% | -3.7% | -10.3% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 1.20 | 1.01 | -16.1% | -2.4% | -0.7% | -0.9% | +8.5% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.08 | 1.24 | +14.7% | +2.0% | +0.9% | -2.7% | -0.9% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.56 | 0.76 | +36.6% | +2.0% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +3.9% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 0.89 | 0.78 | -12.4% | +0.3% | -1.9% | +2.5% | -6.2% |
| 2021-10-27 miss | 1.44 | 1.35 | -6.5% | -2.1% | -5.4% | -0.5% | -5.3% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +1.4% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -1.1% | +3.6% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.61 | 0.76 | +25.5% | +1.0% | +0.8% | +6.3% | +8.6% |
| 2021-02-04 miss | 0.81 | 0.75 | -7.5% | -5.0% | -7.6% | +3.0% | +19.1% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.48 | 0.71 | +46.8% | -0.5% | +2.0% | +7.0% | +12.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.40 | 0.77 | +93.1% | +1.4% | -2.7% | -1.4% | +3.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.42 | 0.57 | +35.0% | -8.3% | -6.2% | -4.8% | +1.4% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 1.03 | 1.09 | +6.0% | -1.5% | -2.7% | +4.9% | -9.4% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.99 | 1.09 | +10.3% | +1.3% | +2.4% | +4.1% | +5.9% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.00 | 1.15 | +14.4% | +0.2% | +4.2% | -7.1% | -18.6% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.93 | 1.11 | +19.6% | +2.2% | +2.8% | +1.8% | -6.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.