IT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +1.3% | 10.9% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 2.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | +0.5% | 12.8% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.73 | 4.37 | +17.1% | +4.0% | +22.6% | +0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.92 | 3.32 | +13.6% | -1.8% | +1.2% | +2.3% | +10.3% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 3.51 | 3.94 | +12.2% | -26.9% | -20.9% | -0.2% | +6.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 2.43 | 2.76 | +13.7% | +2.6% | -7.6% | +1.9% | +2.2% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 3.31 | 3.53 | +6.8% | -28.0% | -27.6% | -6.0% | -3.0% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.72 | 2.98 | +9.7% | -2.2% | +1.4% | +3.6% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 3.26 | 5.45 | +67.2% | +4.9% | -0.1% | -4.6% | -11.7% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 2.37 | 2.50 | +5.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +7.2% | +0.6% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 3.03 | 3.22 | +6.4% | +2.4% | +5.9% | -5.2% | -3.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.54 | 2.93 | +15.3% | +2.1% | -8.0% | +5.9% | +0.5% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 2.83 | 3.04 | +7.5% | -7.8% | -1.7% | -3.3% | +1.8% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 1.96 | 2.56 | +30.7% | +8.0% | +14.6% | +6.4% | +12.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 2.50 | 2.85 | +13.9% | -3.5% | -2.7% | -2.0% | +2.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.06 | 2.88 | +39.6% | +1.9% | -1.8% | +0.8% | +12.7% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 2.58 | 3.70 | +43.5% | -2.3% | +3.5% | -3.0% | -5.8% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.87 | 2.41 | +28.8% | +4.1% | +7.6% | +0.7% | +9.6% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.14 | 2.85 | +33.0% | +6.4% | +7.7% | +1.4% | -1.5% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.72 | 2.33 | +35.6% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -12.5% | -4.5% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 2.42 | 2.99 | +23.7% | -8.3% | +2.6% | -1.9% | -7.1% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.55 | 2.03 | +30.6% | +10.5% | +3.4% | -0.1% | -6.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.