IT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | -0.3% | 8.2% | 48% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.9% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.6% | 10.2% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.73 | 4.37 | +17.1% | +4.0% | +22.6% | +0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.92 | 3.32 | +13.6% | -1.8% | +1.2% | +2.3% | +10.3% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 3.51 | 3.94 | +12.2% | -26.9% | -20.9% | -0.2% | +6.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 2.43 | 2.76 | +13.7% | +2.6% | -7.6% | +1.9% | +2.2% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 3.31 | 3.53 | +6.8% | -28.0% | -27.6% | -6.0% | -3.0% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.72 | 2.98 | +9.7% | -2.2% | +1.4% | +3.6% | -2.7% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 3.26 | 5.45 | +67.2% | +4.9% | -0.1% | -4.6% | -11.7% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 2.37 | 2.50 | +5.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +7.2% | +0.6% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 3.03 | 3.22 | +6.4% | +2.4% | +5.9% | -5.2% | -3.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.54 | 2.93 | +15.3% | +2.1% | -8.0% | +5.9% | +0.5% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 2.83 | 3.04 | +7.5% | -7.8% | -1.7% | -3.3% | +1.8% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 1.96 | 2.56 | +30.7% | +8.0% | +14.6% | +6.4% | +12.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 2.50 | 2.85 | +13.9% | -3.5% | -2.7% | -2.0% | +2.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.06 | 2.88 | +39.6% | +1.9% | -1.8% | +0.8% | +12.7% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 2.58 | 3.70 | +43.5% | -2.3% | +3.5% | -3.0% | -5.8% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.87 | 2.41 | +28.8% | +4.1% | +7.6% | +0.7% | +9.6% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.14 | 2.85 | +33.0% | +6.4% | +7.7% | +1.4% | -1.5% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.72 | 2.33 | +35.6% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -12.5% | -4.5% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 2.42 | 2.99 | +23.7% | -8.3% | +2.6% | -1.9% | -7.1% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.55 | 2.03 | +30.6% | +10.5% | +3.4% | -0.1% | -6.2% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.73 | 2.24 | +29.6% | +2.6% | +10.8% | -0.7% | +5.3% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.05 | 2.00 | +89.7% | +18.0% | +14.2% | -0.1% | +3.3% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 0.82 | 1.59 | +94.7% | +9.2% | +9.3% | -3.0% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | 0.53 | 0.91 | +73.2% | +10.1% | +12.6% | +11.8% | +8.5% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.81 | 1.20 | +48.8% | +4.2% | +0.5% | +4.2% | +6.1% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.32 | 1.20 | +269.9% | +5.1% | +7.6% | -10.6% | +11.2% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 0.82 | 1.18 | +44.6% | -5.1% | -6.0% | -1.2% | -18.5% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.43 | 0.70 | +62.8% | +1.6% | +5.1% | +3.8% | +2.3% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.18 | 1.45 | +22.9% | -13.1% | -19.0% | -7.1% | -5.5% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +9.7% | -1.8% | -3.9% | -2.4% | -0.6% |
| 2019-02-05 miss | 1.25 | 1.20 | -3.8% | -9.9% | -1.6% | +0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.62 | 0.85 | +37.0% | -2.0% | -3.8% | +3.5% | +8.4% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 0.96 | 1.03 | +7.5% | -3.0% | -3.4% | +5.6% | +12.8% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.58 | 0.72 | +23.8% | +1.2% | +5.4% | +3.6% | +5.2% |
| 2018-02-06 miss | 1.31 | 1.17 | -10.5% | -6.6% | -3.3% | -4.2% | -2.8% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.52 | 0.65 | +25.4% | -1.0% | -4.2% | -2.5% | +0.8% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +5.3% | -3.6% | -3.1% | -4.2% | +0.2% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.0% | +0.9% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +6.8% |
| 2017-02-02 miss | 0.98 | 0.97 | -0.8% | -1.8% | +0.3% | +1.1% | +4.0% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 0.50 | 0.58 | +16.9% | +9.6% | +9.1% | +6.8% | +7.1% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.0% | -3.0% | -4.1% | -0.9% | -4.1% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.45 | 0.61 | +36.7% | +2.0% | +8.6% | +3.1% | +7.4% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.2% | -3.9% | -2.7% | -4.9% | +1.6% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +8.0% | -2.2% | -4.4% | +0.0% | +5.0% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.7% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +2.6% | -0.8% |
| 2015-05-07 miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -0.3% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +1.2% |
| 2015-02-05 miss | 0.80 | 0.72 | -9.9% | -3.4% | -7.4% | +1.1% | +2.7% |
| 2014-11-06 beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +12.3% | +2.0% | +5.2% | +1.3% | -1.5% |
| 2014-08-05 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +8.5% | +2.1% | +3.9% | +0.1% | +4.3% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +14.3% | +5.9% | +6.7% | -5.0% | -3.2% |
| 2014-02-06 miss | 0.69 | 0.66 | -4.1% | -5.5% | -6.1% | +7.3% | +16.5% |
| 2013-11-07 miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -1.4% | +0.1% | -1.2% | +9.1% | +14.5% |
| 2013-08-02 miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -4.4% | -6.8% | -8.6% | +2.7% | +0.5% |
| 2013-05-02 miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -6.0% | -0.8% | -2.1% | +3.4% | +1.3% |
| 2013-02-07 beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +4.0% | -2.0% | -4.6% | -3.5% | +2.9% |
| 2012-11-02 miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.4% | -1.3% | -8.2% | +3.5% | +6.2% |
| 2012-08-03 beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.7% | +1.0% | +5.2% | +3.5% | +8.2% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +4.0% | -0.6% | -2.8% | -1.3% | -7.5% |
| 2012-02-07 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -1.0% | -1.0% | -3.7% | +0.1% | +7.3% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +5.7% | -3.3% | +1.3% | -0.1% | -3.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.