J chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -4.2% | 5.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.6% | 1.2% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +1.3% | +1.4% | 2.1% | 80% |
| 5-day | -2.1% | +0.2% | 8.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.83 | 1.84 | +0.8% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.63 | 1.75 | +7.1% | -7.3% | -7.3% | -15.3% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.50 | 1.53 | +1.8% | +3.5% | +7.8% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 1.68 | 1.75 | +4.2% | +3.8% | -10.9% | +4.4% | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +5.4% | -2.2% | +3.8% | +3.2% | -1.0% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 1.38 | 1.43 | +3.5% | -6.9% | -5.7% | +6.3% | +5.7% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.7% | +1.2% | -3.5% | -0.6% | -7.8% |
| 2024-11-19 miss | 1.37 | 1.37 | -0.3% | -2.5% | -4.9% | +5.4% | +0.4% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 1.96 | 1.96 | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +2.4% | +2.3% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 1.86 | 1.91 | +2.9% | -0.7% | -5.0% | -2.7% | -2.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.