J chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | +0.3% | 4.4% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 43% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | -1.1% | 6.2% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.83 | 1.84 | +0.8% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.63 | 1.75 | +7.1% | -7.3% | -7.3% | -15.3% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.50 | 1.53 | +1.8% | +3.5% | +7.8% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 1.68 | 1.75 | +4.2% | +3.8% | -10.9% | +4.4% | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +5.4% | -2.2% | +3.8% | +3.2% | -1.0% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 1.38 | 1.43 | +3.5% | -6.9% | -5.7% | +6.3% | +5.7% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.7% | +1.2% | -3.5% | -0.6% | -7.8% |
| 2024-11-19 miss | 1.37 | 1.37 | -0.3% | -2.5% | -4.9% | +5.4% | +0.4% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 1.96 | 1.96 | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +2.4% | +2.3% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 1.86 | 1.91 | +2.9% | -0.7% | -5.0% | -2.7% | -2.4% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 1.56 | 2.02 | +29.6% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +2.3% | +6.3% |
| 2023-11-21 miss | 2.02 | 1.90 | -5.8% | -3.6% | -8.7% | +0.9% | +2.0% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 1.82 | 1.82 | -0.0% | -0.7% | +4.6% | +1.5% | -2.0% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 1.78 | 1.81 | +1.8% | -1.0% | +1.3% | -4.4% | -1.8% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 1.61 | 1.67 | +3.7% | +0.0% | -1.9% | +0.0% | -3.8% |
| 2022-11-21 beat | 1.77 | 1.80 | +1.5% | +1.8% | -3.0% | +0.4% | -0.8% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 1.80 | 1.86 | +3.4% | -3.3% | -5.7% | -2.8% | -3.9% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.68 | 1.72 | +2.3% | +0.3% | +0.6% | -6.1% | +1.2% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | 1.58 | 1.56 | -1.2% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -0.4% | +0.3% |
| 2021-11-23 beat | 1.57 | 1.58 | +0.5% | -1.5% | -1.8% | -3.6% | -4.6% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.52 | 1.64 | +7.6% | -0.6% | -3.3% | +1.7% | +4.1% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 1.39 | 1.66 | +19.6% | +1.2% | +1.7% | -2.3% | -0.6% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 1.29 | 1.41 | +9.4% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +0.7% | +11.6% |
| 2020-11-24 beat | 1.32 | 1.63 | +23.2% | +1.5% | +2.9% | -0.6% | -0.2% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 1.01 | 1.26 | +24.3% | +0.4% | +6.0% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 1.31 | 1.39 | +6.4% | +0.8% | +0.3% | -8.8% | +14.0% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.9% | +1.4% | +2.6% | +2.4% | +1.9% |
| 2019-11-25 beat | 1.31 | 1.48 | +13.4% | +2.0% | -2.8% | -2.3% | -0.7% |
| 2019-08-05 beat | 1.24 | 1.40 | +13.3% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +2.4% | +12.2% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 1.09 | 1.19 | +9.1% | -0.8% | +1.6% | -2.2% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.