JPM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.8% | 3.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 1.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 1.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.9% | 4.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 beat | 5.80 | 6.14 | +5.9% | -2.3% | +2.5% | +0.7% | +6.5% |
| 2026-04-14 beat | 5.51 | 5.94 | +7.8% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +0.6% | -3.5% |
| 2026-01-13 miss | 4.82 | 4.63 | -3.9% | -0.1% | -4.2% | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 4.87 | 5.07 | +4.0% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -1.7% | +6.1% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 4.48 | 4.96 | +10.6% | -0.2% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +1.4% |
| 2025-04-11 beat | 4.64 | 5.07 | +9.2% | -0.4% | +4.0% | -3.1% | +11.4% |
| 2025-01-15 beat | 4.04 | 4.81 | +19.2% | +1.2% | +2.0% | +5.4% | +9.6% |
| 2024-10-11 beat | 3.99 | 4.37 | +9.6% | +1.3% | +4.4% | +1.4% | +7.6% |
| 2024-07-12 beat | 5.09 | 6.12 | +20.2% | -1.7% | -1.2% | +2.4% | +0.6% |
| 2024-04-12 beat | 4.13 | 4.44 | +7.4% | -3.6% | -6.5% | +1.6% | +8.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.