JPM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.7% | 3.6% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.0% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.9% | 5.7% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 beat | 5.80 | 6.14 | +5.9% | -2.3% | +2.5% | +0.7% | +6.5% |
| 2026-04-14 beat | 5.51 | 5.94 | +7.8% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +0.6% | -3.5% |
| 2026-01-13 miss | 4.82 | 4.63 | -3.9% | -0.1% | -4.2% | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 4.87 | 5.07 | +4.0% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -1.7% | +6.1% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 4.48 | 4.96 | +10.6% | -0.2% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +1.4% |
| 2025-04-11 beat | 4.64 | 5.07 | +9.2% | -0.4% | +4.0% | -3.1% | +11.4% |
| 2025-01-15 beat | 4.04 | 4.81 | +19.2% | +1.2% | +2.0% | +5.4% | +9.6% |
| 2024-10-11 beat | 3.99 | 4.37 | +9.6% | +1.3% | +4.4% | +1.4% | +7.6% |
| 2024-07-12 beat | 5.09 | 6.12 | +20.2% | -1.7% | -1.2% | +2.4% | +0.6% |
| 2024-04-12 beat | 4.13 | 4.44 | +7.4% | -3.6% | -6.5% | +1.6% | +8.7% |
| 2024-01-12 miss | 3.60 | 3.04 | -15.7% | +2.1% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2023-10-13 beat | 3.97 | 4.33 | +9.0% | +1.8% | +1.5% | -3.4% | -1.5% |
| 2023-07-14 beat | 3.76 | 4.75 | +26.5% | +1.8% | +0.6% | +3.5% | +3.3% |
| 2023-04-14 beat | 3.37 | 4.10 | +21.7% | +4.8% | +7.6% | +1.3% | -2.5% |
| 2023-01-13 beat | 3.10 | 3.57 | +15.0% | -2.8% | +2.5% | -4.0% | +0.1% |
| 2022-10-14 beat | 2.85 | 3.12 | +9.4% | +2.4% | +1.7% | +9.9% | +20.4% |
| 2022-07-14 miss | 2.90 | 2.76 | -4.8% | -3.5% | -3.5% | +6.8% | +13.1% |
| 2022-04-13 miss | 2.71 | 2.63 | -2.9% | -3.5% | -3.2% | +2.6% | -6.4% |
| 2022-01-14 beat | 3.03 | 3.33 | +9.7% | -4.4% | -6.1% | -8.2% | -2.0% |
| 2021-10-13 beat | 3.00 | 3.55 | +18.3% | -0.8% | -2.6% | +6.1% | +4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.