KAI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 5.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 4.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 3.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -0.6% | 9.0% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 2.77 | 3.42 | +23.6% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -0.9% | -11.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.19 | 2.84 | +29.5% | +4.7% | +13.4% | +0.5% | -10.5% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 2.19 | 2.27 | +3.5% | -1.5% | +2.1% | +5.6% | -9.4% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.16 | 2.59 | +19.7% | +3.1% | +0.8% | -9.4% | -7.6% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.94 | 2.31 | +18.9% | +3.8% | +4.1% | -9.7% | -7.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.97 | 2.10 | +6.9% | -3.7% | -6.5% | -1.5% | +6.4% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 2.05 | 2.25 | +9.8% | +3.0% | -0.7% | +8.0% | +0.1% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 2.43 | 2.84 | +16.9% | -1.7% | +4.7% | +14.7% | +23.0% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.43 | 2.81 | +15.5% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -15.7% | -8.9% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.96 | 2.38 | +21.6% | -5.0% | -4.5% | +8.5% | +9.4% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 2.10 | 2.41 | +14.9% | +2.4% | +8.1% | -5.6% | -7.2% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 2.28 | 2.69 | +18.1% | -1.0% | +7.0% | +4.1% | +11.5% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 2.12 | 2.54 | +20.1% | -1.6% | -6.6% | +2.4% | +5.6% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.16 | 2.40 | +11.3% | +0.6% | +3.3% | +0.6% | +5.1% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 2.02 | 2.33 | +15.2% | +0.0% | +5.8% | +0.2% | -4.7% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 2.13 | 2.38 | +11.9% | -3.4% | -5.5% | +4.9% | +14.0% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.05 | 2.24 | +9.5% | -2.7% | -0.7% | -2.8% | -10.1% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 2.10 | 2.28 | +8.8% | -0.1% | +5.5% | -6.6% | -5.0% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 2.00 | 2.31 | +15.4% | +4.8% | -3.3% | -6.2% | +0.7% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.67 | 1.97 | +17.8% | -3.1% | +2.9% | +3.9% | +1.4% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.53 | 2.01 | +31.6% | -2.0% | +7.2% | +5.9% | +10.3% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.36 | 1.43 | +4.8% | +1.4% | -1.2% | -4.7% | -4.2% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 1.31 | 1.54 | +17.6% | -8.6% | +2.1% | +11.4% | +18.7% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.97 | 1.31 | +34.5% | +1.2% | -2.4% | +7.6% | +17.4% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.74 | 1.06 | +42.5% | +0.0% | -3.6% | +1.4% | +5.2% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 0.88 | 1.09 | +23.3% | -3.6% | -5.1% | -1.7% | +16.4% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 1.28 | 1.32 | +2.8% | -5.7% | -14.8% | +3.9% | -35.7% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.27 | 1.41 | +10.7% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +9.0% | +9.5% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.12 | 1.42 | +27.4% | +6.8% | +7.4% | -11.5% | -12.3% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 1.14 | 1.24 | +8.5% | +1.8% | -2.6% | -6.8% | -16.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.