KAI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.2% | 6.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 3.5% | 48% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +2.0% | 7.9% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 2.77 | 3.42 | +23.6% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -0.9% | -11.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.19 | 2.84 | +29.5% | +4.7% | +13.4% | +0.5% | -10.5% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 2.19 | 2.27 | +3.5% | -1.5% | +2.1% | +5.6% | -9.4% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.16 | 2.59 | +19.7% | +3.1% | +0.8% | -9.4% | -7.6% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.94 | 2.31 | +18.9% | +3.8% | +4.1% | -9.7% | -7.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.97 | 2.10 | +6.9% | -3.7% | -6.5% | -1.5% | +6.4% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 2.05 | 2.25 | +9.8% | +3.0% | -0.7% | +8.0% | +0.1% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 2.43 | 2.84 | +16.9% | -1.7% | +4.7% | +14.7% | +23.0% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.43 | 2.81 | +15.5% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -15.7% | -8.9% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.96 | 2.38 | +21.6% | -5.0% | -4.5% | +8.5% | +9.4% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 2.10 | 2.41 | +14.9% | +2.4% | +8.1% | -5.6% | -7.2% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 2.28 | 2.69 | +18.1% | -1.0% | +7.0% | +4.1% | +11.5% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 2.12 | 2.54 | +20.1% | -1.6% | -6.6% | +2.4% | +5.6% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.16 | 2.40 | +11.3% | +0.6% | +3.3% | +0.6% | +5.1% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 2.02 | 2.33 | +15.2% | +0.0% | +5.8% | +0.2% | -4.7% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 2.13 | 2.38 | +11.9% | -3.4% | -5.5% | +4.9% | +14.0% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.05 | 2.24 | +9.5% | -2.7% | -0.7% | -2.8% | -10.1% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 2.10 | 2.28 | +8.8% | -0.1% | +5.5% | -6.6% | -5.0% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 2.00 | 2.31 | +15.4% | +4.8% | -3.3% | -6.2% | +0.7% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.67 | 1.97 | +17.8% | -3.1% | +2.9% | +3.9% | +1.4% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.53 | 2.01 | +31.6% | -2.0% | +7.2% | +5.9% | +10.3% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.36 | 1.43 | +4.8% | +1.4% | -1.2% | -4.7% | -4.2% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 1.31 | 1.54 | +17.6% | -8.6% | +2.1% | +11.4% | +18.7% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.97 | 1.31 | +34.5% | +1.2% | -2.4% | +7.6% | +17.4% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.74 | 1.06 | +42.5% | +0.0% | -3.6% | +1.4% | +5.2% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 0.88 | 1.09 | +23.3% | -3.6% | -5.1% | -1.7% | +16.4% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 1.28 | 1.32 | +2.8% | -5.7% | -14.8% | +3.9% | -35.7% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.27 | 1.41 | +10.7% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +9.0% | +9.5% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.12 | 1.42 | +27.4% | +6.8% | +7.4% | -11.5% | -12.3% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 1.14 | 1.24 | +8.5% | +1.8% | -2.6% | -6.8% | -16.1% |
| 2019-02-13 beat | 1.35 | 1.66 | +22.7% | +0.2% | +2.4% | -2.0% | +0.2% |
| 2018-10-29 beat | 1.38 | 1.53 | +10.7% | -0.6% | +4.9% | -0.7% | -8.3% |
| 2018-07-30 beat | 0.97 | 1.07 | +9.9% | +0.8% | +1.0% | -4.8% | +5.0% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 0.96 | 1.07 | +11.8% | +1.4% | +2.7% | -0.1% | +3.0% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 1.08 | 1.14 | +5.6% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +3.8% | +3.2% |
| 2017-10-30 beat | 1.14 | 1.49 | +30.7% | +5.5% | +13.1% | -8.1% | -9.9% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 0.91 | 1.04 | +14.0% | +4.3% | +14.5% | -3.4% | -1.6% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.69 | 0.80 | +16.4% | +5.5% | +11.1% | +1.2% | +10.6% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +8.2% | -1.3% | +0.6% | -3.7% | -6.4% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.65 | 0.81 | +24.1% | -1.8% | +1.7% | +7.9% | +18.6% |
| 2016-08-03 beat | 0.65 | 0.88 | +36.0% | +3.6% | +3.6% | -7.1% | -2.1% |
| 2016-05-02 beat | 0.58 | 0.74 | +27.0% | -1.4% | +1.1% | -1.3% | +2.4% |
| 2016-02-24 beat | 0.80 | 0.95 | +18.8% | -5.8% | -3.7% | +6.4% | +15.4% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.5% | -0.2% | -3.3% | -0.3% | +6.7% |
| 2015-08-05 beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +6.4% | -1.1% | +4.5% | -0.6% | -10.2% |
| 2015-05-04 beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +9.2% | -0.4% | -6.7% | +0.9% | -2.5% |
| 2015-02-25 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.5% | +0.2% | +1.3% | +10.6% | +24.7% |
| 2014-10-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.63 | +17.8% | +1.6% | +7.6% | +1.2% | -1.9% |
| 2014-07-28 beat | 0.66 | 0.74 | +11.8% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +4.6% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 0.47 | 0.59 | +24.5% | -1.5% | -1.8% | +3.9% | +9.1% |
| 2014-02-19 beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +4.8% | +1.8% | +4.5% | +6.1% | -2.4% |
| 2013-11-04 beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +11.4% | -0.7% | +1.3% | +3.7% | +8.5% |
| 2013-07-29 miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -5.8% | +1.0% | -3.2% | -1.4% | -3.8% |
| 2013-04-29 beat | 0.35 | 0.47 | +34.3% | +2.2% | +3.1% | +0.6% | +9.3% |
| 2013-02-26 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +9.1% | -1.3% | -9.7% | +6.2% | +2.6% |
| 2012-10-29 beat | 0.49 | 0.66 | +33.8% | +0.2% | +2.4% | -7.3% | -1.7% |
| 2012-07-30 beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +3.2% | -4.2% | -7.6% | +6.3% | +11.0% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.42 | 0.61 | +46.1% | +2.5% | +11.6% | -1.6% | -10.1% |
| 2012-02-22 miss | 0.66 | 0.59 | -10.2% | +0.0% | -4.9% | -5.5% | +0.9% |
| 2011-10-26 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +8.5% | +12.7% | +20.8% | -1.2% | -17.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.