KD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.2% | -5.1% | 22.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.6% | +1.0% | 3.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +0.8% | 3.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | -3.8% | -7.5% | 23.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -0.17 | -0.12 | +29.4% | -2.7% | -5.4% | -5.9% | -4.0% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 0.47 | 0.18 | -61.6% | -10.3% | -10.7% | -15.8% | -11.4% |
| 2026-02-09 miss | 0.60 | 0.52 | -13.8% | -53.9% | -54.9% | +28.3% | +19.5% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.2% | +3.9% | -4.7% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +1.8% | -13.5% | -21.1% | +2.3% | +9.8% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.7% | +2.9% | +10.5% | +11.2% | +11.4% |
| 2025-02-03 beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +25.0% | -2.4% | +5.2% | +0.2% | -11.2% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -0.03 | 0.01 | +133.1% | +7.0% | +14.2% | +2.6% | +24.9% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 0.17 | 0.13 | -25.3% | -2.4% | -12.6% | -5.8% | +0.9% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.07 | -0.01 | +85.8% | +10.7% | +27.8% | +5.6% | -1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.