KD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -1.5% | 18.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.6% | 4.0% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +1.8% | +1.5% | 4.5% | 65% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -0.1% | 21.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -0.17 | -0.12 | +29.4% | -2.7% | -5.4% | -5.9% | -4.0% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 0.47 | 0.18 | -61.6% | -10.3% | -10.7% | -15.8% | -11.4% |
| 2026-02-09 miss | 0.60 | 0.52 | -13.8% | -53.9% | -54.9% | +28.3% | +19.5% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.2% | +3.9% | -4.7% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +1.8% | -13.5% | -21.1% | +2.3% | +9.8% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.7% | +2.9% | +10.5% | +11.2% | +11.4% |
| 2025-02-03 beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +25.0% | -2.4% | +5.2% | +0.2% | -11.2% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -0.03 | 0.01 | +133.1% | +7.0% | +14.2% | +2.6% | +24.9% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 0.17 | 0.13 | -25.3% | -2.4% | -12.6% | -5.8% | +0.9% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.07 | -0.01 | +85.8% | +10.7% | +27.8% | +5.6% | -1.6% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 0.19 | -0.05 | -126.5% | +6.2% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +4.5% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | -0.18 | -0.05 | +72.2% | +10.2% | +13.9% | +1.2% | +4.2% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | -1.11 | — | +100.0% | +16.5% | +18.6% | +10.8% | +14.0% |
| 2023-05-16 miss | -0.44 | -2.24 | -406.6% | -9.5% | -12.9% | -2.2% | +7.7% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | -0.30 | 0.12 | +141.2% | +6.8% | +21.4% | +3.6% | -11.4% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | -0.47 | -0.71 | -50.6% | -2.7% | -12.5% | +21.4% | +32.8% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | -0.93 | -0.42 | +55.1% | +0.3% | +2.5% | +6.3% | +0.1% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | -0.86 | -0.54 | +37.3% | -1.8% | +12.5% | -19.8% | -16.1% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | -0.47 | 0.20 | +142.7% | -1.2% | -14.9% | -16.4% | -2.6% |
| 2021-11-22 miss | -0.47 | -0.60 | -27.7% | +0.0% | -6.5% | -9.0% | +10.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.