KDP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +1.9% | 4.1% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.9% | 1.8% | 20% |
| Day 3 | -1.5% | -0.9% | 2.1% | 20% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -1.1% | 5.7% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +6.2% | +5.7% | -1.2% | +2.5% | +7.3% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.2% | +2.8% | +7.5% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.9% | +3.1% | +4.2% | -4.7% | -15.0% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.4% | +9.5% | +7.6% | -8.9% | -7.5% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +1.0% | +1.6% | +0.2% | -2.7% | +4.7% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +9.8% | -2.8% | -2.1% | -1.2% | -4.5% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.5% | +2.3% | +2.4% | -3.8% | -2.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.8% | -3.7% | -4.8% | -5.7% | -6.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.3% | +3.4% | +1.3% | +4.1% | +7.6% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +10.0% | +5.0% | +4.6% | -0.8% | +1.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.