KDP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 3.7% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 2.0% | 44% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.4% | 1.6% | 41% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -1.1% | 4.7% | 41% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +6.2% | +5.7% | -1.2% | +2.5% | +7.3% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.2% | +2.8% | +7.5% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.9% | +3.1% | +4.2% | -4.7% | -15.0% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.4% | +9.5% | +7.6% | -8.9% | -7.5% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +1.0% | +1.6% | +0.2% | -2.7% | +4.7% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +9.8% | -2.8% | -2.1% | -1.2% | -4.5% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.5% | +2.3% | +2.4% | -3.8% | -2.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.8% | -3.7% | -4.8% | -5.7% | -6.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.3% | +3.4% | +1.3% | +4.1% | +7.6% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +10.0% | +5.0% | +4.6% | -0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.5% | -3.3% | -3.9% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +2.6% | +6.1% | +1.4% | +4.6% | +10.3% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +4.9% | +4.0% | +3.7% | +0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +2.1% | -2.5% | -5.5% | -3.1% | -6.4% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -4.2% | -3.4% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.1% | -2.9% | -1.7% | -4.8% | +0.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.0% | +0.9% | +3.7% | +0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +0.3% | -1.3% | +0.3% | -2.4% | -7.4% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.1% | -2.2% | -3.7% | +5.3% | +2.5% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.4% | +0.9% | +3.8% | +1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.7% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -1.4% | +0.5% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +4.2% | -0.1% | +2.1% | +1.1% | +2.8% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -1.5% | -0.8% | -1.9% | +0.1% | +14.2% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.9% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +5.9% | +12.0% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +4.6% | -1.1% | -1.6% | -3.1% | -2.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +5.3% | -0.8% | -2.1% | +1.7% | +8.3% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.2% | -3.6% | -1.7% | -4.4% | -13.7% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +1.4% | +9.2% | +5.9% | +0.6% | -2.1% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.0% | +2.3% | +5.1% | -4.1% | -7.9% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +6.7% | +1.4% | -2.9% | +1.1% | +1.2% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -0.1% | -4.8% | -6.6% | +5.5% | +11.2% |
| 2018-11-07 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +8.9% | +1.0% | +3.0% | -3.3% | -7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.