KMX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.9% | -6.6% | 9.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | -1.0% | 4.7% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.8% | 1.7% | 30% |
| 5-day | -6.8% | -2.4% | 10.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 beat | 0.94 | 1.31 | +38.8% | -4.1% | -9.0% | +11.5% | +17.9% |
| 2026-04-14 beat | 0.21 | 0.34 | +60.6% | -10.0% | -15.1% | -6.3% | -11.0% |
| 2025-12-18 beat | 0.31 | 0.51 | +66.0% | -6.5% | -4.2% | -0.2% | +23.9% |
| 2025-09-25 miss | 1.05 | 0.64 | -39.3% | -21.1% | -20.1% | +1.0% | -2.9% |
| 2025-06-20 beat | 1.17 | 1.38 | +18.3% | +9.2% | +6.6% | -2.9% | -7.4% |
| 2025-04-10 miss | 0.66 | 0.58 | -12.3% | -13.2% | -17.0% | -2.8% | +3.9% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 0.60 | 0.81 | +34.6% | +12.1% | +3.5% | -0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2024-09-26 miss | 0.86 | 0.85 | -1.1% | -2.0% | +5.0% | -5.1% | -7.9% |
| 2024-06-21 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.1% | +3.3% | +0.4% | +2.4% | +12.2% |
| 2024-04-11 miss | 0.45 | 0.32 | -29.4% | -7.5% | -9.2% | -5.7% | -0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.