KMX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -3.7% | 8.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.8% | 2.9% | 32% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 2.5% | 42% |
| 5-day | -2.5% | -1.5% | 9.7% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 beat | 0.94 | 1.31 | +38.8% | -4.1% | -9.0% | +11.5% | +17.9% |
| 2026-04-14 beat | 0.21 | 0.34 | +60.6% | -10.0% | -15.1% | -6.3% | -11.0% |
| 2025-12-18 beat | 0.31 | 0.51 | +66.0% | -6.5% | -4.2% | -0.2% | +23.9% |
| 2025-09-25 miss | 1.05 | 0.64 | -39.3% | -21.1% | -20.1% | +1.0% | -2.9% |
| 2025-06-20 beat | 1.17 | 1.38 | +18.3% | +9.2% | +6.6% | -2.9% | -7.4% |
| 2025-04-10 miss | 0.66 | 0.58 | -12.3% | -13.2% | -17.0% | -2.8% | +3.9% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 0.60 | 0.81 | +34.6% | +12.1% | +3.5% | -0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2024-09-26 miss | 0.86 | 0.85 | -1.1% | -2.0% | +5.0% | -5.1% | -7.9% |
| 2024-06-21 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.1% | +3.3% | +0.4% | +2.4% | +12.2% |
| 2024-04-11 miss | 0.45 | 0.32 | -29.4% | -7.5% | -9.2% | -5.7% | -0.4% |
| 2023-12-21 beat | 0.41 | 0.52 | +27.1% | +12.7% | +5.2% | -2.3% | -14.1% |
| 2023-09-28 miss | 0.78 | 0.75 | -3.6% | -11.7% | -13.4% | -4.2% | -12.3% |
| 2023-06-23 beat | 0.79 | 1.44 | +81.5% | +7.5% | +10.1% | -2.9% | -5.1% |
| 2023-04-11 beat | 0.24 | 0.44 | +80.8% | +5.8% | +9.6% | -4.3% | +1.7% |
| 2022-12-22 miss | 0.67 | 0.24 | -64.3% | -12.2% | -3.7% | +6.5% | +15.9% |
| 2022-09-29 miss | 1.40 | 0.79 | -43.5% | -14.7% | -24.6% | +0.4% | -2.1% |
| 2022-06-24 beat | 1.48 | 1.56 | +5.4% | +0.0% | +7.2% | -5.8% | -6.3% |
| 2022-04-12 miss | 1.30 | 0.98 | -24.6% | -3.4% | -9.5% | -0.3% | -2.2% |
| 2021-12-22 beat | 1.44 | 1.63 | +12.9% | +2.0% | -6.7% | +0.3% | -12.5% |
| 2021-09-30 miss | 1.89 | 1.72 | -8.9% | -9.0% | -12.6% | +2.6% | +7.0% |
| 2021-06-25 beat | 1.64 | 2.63 | +60.0% | +5.2% | +6.7% | +5.0% | +5.9% |
| 2021-04-01 beat | 1.26 | 1.27 | +0.9% | -4.7% | -7.0% | +6.7% | +11.1% |
| 2020-12-22 beat | 1.13 | 1.42 | +25.3% | -3.8% | -8.1% | +2.5% | +31.0% |
| 2020-09-24 beat | 1.11 | 1.79 | +60.8% | -5.5% | -11.0% | -0.8% | -3.5% |
| 2020-06-19 miss | 0.04 | -0.15 | -509.9% | +0.6% | -6.2% | -5.8% | +3.7% |
| 2020-04-02 beat | 1.13 | 1.30 | +14.7% | -6.4% | -4.1% | +32.5% | +42.8% |
| 2019-12-20 miss | 1.16 | 1.04 | -10.2% | -4.4% | -6.2% | -5.7% | +5.8% |
| 2019-09-24 beat | 1.33 | 1.40 | +5.4% | +3.8% | -0.2% | +2.2% | +9.1% |
| 2019-06-21 beat | 1.49 | 1.59 | +6.8% | +5.7% | +3.2% | +1.4% | +0.7% |
| 2019-03-29 beat | 1.03 | 1.13 | +10.1% | +4.7% | +9.6% | +3.2% | +11.5% |
| 2018-12-21 beat | 1.00 | 1.09 | +9.4% | +2.8% | +3.9% | +6.4% | +0.8% |
| 2018-09-26 beat | 1.22 | 1.24 | +2.0% | +4.5% | -1.6% | -1.5% | -5.4% |
| 2018-06-22 beat | 1.24 | 1.33 | +6.9% | +9.4% | +12.9% | -9.1% | -5.7% |
| 2018-04-04 miss | 0.87 | 0.78 | -10.7% | -3.4% | +4.6% | -3.6% | +0.9% |
| 2017-12-21 beat | 0.81 | 0.81 | +0.6% | -1.4% | -3.6% | -2.8% | +7.5% |
| 2017-09-22 beat | 0.95 | 0.98 | +3.6% | +3.7% | +7.8% | +2.2% | +0.3% |
| 2017-06-21 beat | 0.97 | 1.13 | +16.3% | +7.7% | +0.8% | +3.9% | +10.6% |
| 2017-04-06 beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.1% | -2.8% | +2.4% | -4.5% | +3.9% |
| 2016-12-20 beat | 0.70 | 0.72 | +3.2% | -0.8% | +6.1% | -3.6% | +1.5% |
| 2016-09-21 miss | 0.88 | 0.88 | -0.2% | -3.2% | -2.0% | -2.7% | -6.9% |
| 2016-06-21 miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -1.7% | -3.0% | -4.9% | -3.0% | +19.6% |
| 2016-04-07 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.3% | +2.6% | -7.1% | +8.4% | +1.9% |
| 2015-12-18 miss | 0.68 | 0.63 | -6.8% | -6.5% | -6.4% | -0.6% | -14.4% |
| 2015-09-22 beat | 0.76 | 0.82 | +8.4% | -4.2% | -4.7% | -2.9% | -4.1% |
| 2015-06-19 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +0.7% | -3.9% | -3.7% | -1.2% | -3.5% |
| 2015-04-02 beat | 0.58 | 0.67 | +14.6% | +5.2% | +9.3% | -2.1% | -4.5% |
| 2014-12-19 beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +11.7% | +8.3% | +11.2% | +0.8% | -4.6% |
| 2014-09-23 miss | 0.67 | 0.64 | -5.0% | -6.9% | -9.5% | -2.8% | +1.1% |
| 2014-06-20 beat | 0.66 | 0.76 | +15.7% | +14.6% | +16.5% | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| 2014-04-04 miss | 0.53 | 0.44 | -17.2% | -3.3% | -4.2% | -5.9% | -4.2% |
| 2013-12-20 miss | 0.48 | 0.47 | -3.0% | -5.3% | -9.4% | -2.0% | -6.9% |
| 2013-09-24 beat | 0.56 | 0.62 | +9.8% | +4.0% | +3.6% | -5.8% | -8.3% |
| 2013-06-21 beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +9.6% | +6.8% | +0.0% | +3.5% | +7.8% |
| 2013-04-10 beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +0.6% | +0.9% | +3.9% | -4.1% | +8.8% |
| 2012-12-20 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +6.0% | +5.6% | +9.0% | -3.4% | +1.5% |
| 2012-09-20 miss | 0.52 | 0.48 | -7.0% | -2.5% | -6.3% | -5.3% | +11.1% |
| 2012-06-21 miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.8% | -6.5% | -7.2% | -2.6% | +5.1% |
| 2012-04-05 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.1% | -2.7% | -4.8% | -5.8% | -10.2% |
| 2011-12-21 miss | 0.38 | 0.36 | -5.9% | -3.8% | -5.5% | +5.0% | +11.0% |
| 2011-09-22 miss | 0.51 | 0.49 | -4.5% | -8.5% | -11.0% | -1.7% | +21.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.