L chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +1.4% | 3.7% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.9% | 1.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +1.0% | 3.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-10 beat | 0.73 | 1.11 | +52.5% | +6.8% | +4.8% | -3.8% | -28.8% |
| 2019-10-28 miss | 0.68 | 0.22 | -67.5% | -1.2% | -3.1% | +0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2019-08-05 beat | 0.75 | 0.91 | +22.4% | +0.3% | -3.4% | -1.2% | -4.1% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 0.96 | 1.15 | +20.2% | +1.6% | +1.5% | -0.3% | +0.6% |
| 2019-02-11 miss | 0.33 | -0.35 | -206.6% | -2.7% | -6.1% | +5.6% | +7.1% |
| 2018-11-05 miss | 1.01 | 0.84 | -16.2% | -0.1% | +5.4% | -0.1% | -3.9% |
| 2018-07-30 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.8% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +2.3% | +0.9% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 0.78 | 0.89 | +13.8% | +0.2% | +1.4% | -2.4% | -7.0% |
| 2018-02-12 beat | 0.71 | 0.79 | +11.8% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +5.0% | +7.3% |
| 2017-10-30 beat | 0.19 | 0.54 | +183.2% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +0.4% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.