L chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 1.0% | 36% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | +0.0% | 3.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-10 beat | 0.73 | 1.11 | +52.5% | +6.8% | +4.8% | -3.8% | -28.8% |
| 2019-10-28 miss | 0.68 | 0.22 | -67.5% | -1.2% | -3.1% | +0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2019-08-05 beat | 0.75 | 0.91 | +22.4% | +0.3% | -3.4% | -1.2% | -4.1% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 0.96 | 1.15 | +20.2% | +1.6% | +1.5% | -0.3% | +0.6% |
| 2019-02-11 miss | 0.33 | -0.35 | -206.6% | -2.7% | -6.1% | +5.6% | +7.1% |
| 2018-11-05 miss | 1.01 | 0.84 | -16.2% | -0.1% | +5.4% | -0.1% | -3.9% |
| 2018-07-30 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.8% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +2.3% | +0.9% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 0.78 | 0.89 | +13.8% | +0.2% | +1.4% | -2.4% | -7.0% |
| 2018-02-12 beat | 0.71 | 0.79 | +11.8% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +5.0% | +7.3% |
| 2017-10-30 beat | 0.19 | 0.54 | +183.2% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +0.4% | +1.8% |
| 2017-07-31 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +0.9% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| 2017-05-01 beat | 0.66 | 0.85 | +28.7% | +0.2% | +1.3% | -1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2017-02-06 beat | 0.63 | 0.73 | +15.1% | -0.7% | -0.2% | +0.7% | +1.6% |
| 2016-10-31 beat | 0.72 | 0.89 | +23.9% | +4.9% | +4.9% | -2.8% | +3.8% |
| 2016-08-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.9% | +0.5% | -2.0% | +1.5% | +3.2% |
| 2016-05-02 beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.1% | +0.2% | +1.2% | -1.8% | +0.7% |
| 2016-02-08 miss | 0.61 | 0.25 | -58.6% | -6.7% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2015-11-02 miss | 0.56 | 0.51 | -9.1% | -1.2% | +3.1% | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| 2015-08-03 miss | 0.58 | 0.46 | -21.2% | -1.2% | -2.7% | +5.3% | -3.7% |
| 2015-05-04 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.5% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -2.3% |
| 2015-02-09 miss | 0.53 | 0.41 | -22.3% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +3.2% | -3.7% |
| 2014-11-03 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +2.9% | -0.3% | -1.1% | +0.8% | -4.4% |
| 2014-08-04 beat | 0.67 | 0.79 | +17.4% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +3.0% |
| 2014-04-28 miss | 0.70 | 0.62 | -11.8% | +0.6% | -0.9% | +0.0% | -1.1% |
| 2014-02-10 beat | 0.66 | 0.92 | +39.4% | -3.4% | -4.2% | +1.5% | +3.3% |
| 2013-10-28 beat | 0.78 | 0.83 | +6.1% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -1.7% |
| 2013-07-29 miss | 0.79 | 0.71 | -10.0% | +1.7% | +0.0% | +0.1% | -2.1% |
| 2013-04-29 miss | 0.90 | 0.82 | -8.8% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2013-02-11 miss | 0.38 | 0.17 | -55.1% | -0.3% | -0.8% | +0.9% | +1.1% |
| 2012-10-29 beat | 0.71 | 0.86 | +21.4% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -2.6% | -3.3% |
| 2012-07-30 miss | 0.75 | 0.50 | -33.7% | -1.6% | -5.2% | +2.2% | +1.7% |
| 2012-04-30 miss | 0.89 | 0.88 | -1.1% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -5.7% |
| 2012-02-06 miss | 0.84 | 0.78 | -7.3% | -1.0% | -0.6% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2011-10-31 miss | 0.67 | 0.44 | -34.2% | -1.9% | -3.8% | -0.6% | -3.2% |
| 2011-08-01 miss | 0.76 | 0.59 | -22.4% | -1.6% | -1.9% | -9.6% | -5.2% |
| 2011-05-02 beat | 0.89 | 0.89 | +0.1% | -2.1% | -2.8% | -2.8% | -4.1% |
| 2011-02-08 beat | 0.93 | 1.18 | +27.6% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| 2010-11-01 miss | 0.93 | 0.91 | -2.1% | +0.7% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -4.1% |
| 2010-08-02 beat | -0.15 | 0.87 | +680.0% | +1.5% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -6.5% |
| 2010-05-03 miss | 0.97 | 0.97 | -0.5% | +4.7% | +0.5% | -6.6% | -12.8% |
| 2010-02-08 miss | 0.95 | 0.83 | -12.9% | -1.0% | -1.7% | +3.9% | +8.0% |
| 2009-11-02 beat | 0.89 | 1.08 | +21.4% | +4.5% | +2.4% | +4.7% | +5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.