LAD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | -0.8% | 7.2% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 3.3% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.1% | 2.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -2.4% | 6.2% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 8.72 | 10.03 | +15.0% | +5.2% | +19.3% | -13.8% | -13.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 6.86 | 7.34 | +7.0% | +5.3% | +5.0% | -0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 8.10 | 6.74 | -16.8% | -2.9% | -1.9% | -7.2% | -20.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 8.61 | 9.50 | +10.4% | +1.4% | -1.1% | +4.4% | -6.8% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 9.81 | 10.24 | +4.4% | -1.9% | -5.6% | +2.8% | +17.3% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 7.87 | 7.66 | -2.7% | -3.0% | -5.8% | +5.2% | +10.5% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 7.20 | 7.79 | +8.2% | +8.5% | +4.6% | -6.5% | -23.4% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 7.60 | 8.21 | +8.1% | -1.5% | +10.1% | +1.4% | +14.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 7.04 | 7.87 | +11.8% | +9.5% | +6.9% | -4.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 7.88 | 6.11 | -22.5% | -5.5% | -6.1% | +2.3% | +2.3% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 8.22 | 8.24 | +0.2% | -2.9% | +1.7% | -5.9% | -7.1% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 10.07 | 9.25 | -8.2% | -3.8% | -6.1% | +5.1% | +15.3% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 9.32 | 10.91 | +17.0% | +7.8% | +9.7% | -5.3% | -5.6% |
| 2023-04-19 miss | 8.74 | 8.44 | -3.5% | -6.2% | -2.2% | -0.4% | +2.8% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | 10.23 | 9.05 | -11.5% | -6.8% | -8.2% | +1.1% | -18.8% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 11.90 | 11.08 | -6.9% | -1.3% | -6.3% | +2.9% | +20.8% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 12.14 | 12.18 | +0.3% | -7.0% | -5.4% | -8.5% | -3.5% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 10.34 | 11.96 | +15.7% | +4.1% | -0.5% | -9.2% | -7.6% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 10.06 | 11.39 | +13.2% | +4.4% | +5.9% | +2.4% | +1.2% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 9.30 | 11.21 | +20.6% | +6.1% | +1.0% | -7.3% | -11.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.