LAD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.6% | +1.8% | 7.4% | 58% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 3.1% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.4% | 52% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +1.7% | 10.0% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 8.72 | 10.03 | +15.0% | +5.2% | +19.3% | -13.8% | -13.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 6.86 | 7.34 | +7.0% | +5.3% | +5.0% | -0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 8.10 | 6.74 | -16.8% | -2.9% | -1.9% | -7.2% | -20.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 8.61 | 9.50 | +10.4% | +1.4% | -1.1% | +4.4% | -6.8% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 9.81 | 10.24 | +4.4% | -1.9% | -5.6% | +2.8% | +17.3% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 7.87 | 7.66 | -2.7% | -3.0% | -5.8% | +5.2% | +10.5% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 7.20 | 7.79 | +8.2% | +8.5% | +4.6% | -6.5% | -23.4% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 7.60 | 8.21 | +8.1% | -1.5% | +10.1% | +1.4% | +14.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 7.04 | 7.87 | +11.8% | +9.5% | +6.9% | -4.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 7.88 | 6.11 | -22.5% | -5.5% | -6.1% | +2.3% | +2.3% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 8.22 | 8.24 | +0.2% | -2.9% | +1.7% | -5.9% | -7.1% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 10.07 | 9.25 | -8.2% | -3.8% | -6.1% | +5.1% | +15.3% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 9.32 | 10.91 | +17.0% | +7.8% | +9.7% | -5.3% | -5.6% |
| 2023-04-19 miss | 8.74 | 8.44 | -3.5% | -6.2% | -2.2% | -0.4% | +2.8% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | 10.23 | 9.05 | -11.5% | -6.8% | -8.2% | +1.1% | -18.8% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 11.90 | 11.08 | -6.9% | -1.3% | -6.3% | +2.9% | +20.8% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 12.14 | 12.18 | +0.3% | -7.0% | -5.4% | -8.5% | -3.5% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 10.34 | 11.96 | +15.7% | +4.1% | -0.5% | -9.2% | -7.6% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 10.06 | 11.39 | +13.2% | +4.4% | +5.9% | +2.4% | +1.2% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 9.30 | 11.21 | +20.6% | +6.1% | +1.0% | -7.3% | -11.3% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 6.16 | 11.12 | +80.5% | +6.0% | +4.4% | +1.1% | -10.1% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 4.76 | 5.89 | +23.7% | -0.5% | +2.5% | +3.0% | -11.8% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | 5.07 | 5.46 | +7.7% | -0.7% | +0.3% | +9.0% | +10.9% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 6.22 | 6.89 | +10.8% | +1.5% | +0.0% | -10.2% | +8.2% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 1.69 | 3.72 | +120.5% | +9.2% | +20.5% | +14.7% | +23.5% |
| 2020-04-22 beat | 1.96 | 2.01 | +2.7% | +3.9% | +8.5% | +24.2% | +24.4% |
| 2020-02-12 miss | 2.97 | 2.95 | -0.8% | -3.6% | -8.1% | +1.8% | -25.9% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 3.09 | 3.39 | +9.7% | +5.7% | +17.3% | +3.1% | +4.9% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 2.82 | 2.95 | +4.8% | +3.2% | +12.8% | -1.1% | -2.2% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 2.17 | 2.44 | +12.3% | +2.2% | +7.4% | +5.8% | +10.0% |
| 2019-02-13 beat | 2.44 | 2.57 | +5.2% | -2.9% | -4.5% | +7.4% | +6.6% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 2.53 | 2.83 | +12.0% | +7.6% | +13.1% | +3.4% | -4.5% |
| 2018-07-25 miss | 2.94 | 2.52 | -14.2% | -9.7% | -10.0% | +2.6% | +2.6% |
| 2018-04-25 miss | 2.29 | 2.07 | -9.7% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -0.8% | +0.4% |
| 2018-02-14 beat | 2.09 | 2.15 | +2.6% | -0.2% | -5.5% | -1.3% | -4.8% |
| 2017-10-25 miss | 2.37 | 2.18 | -8.1% | -4.0% | -6.4% | +4.1% | +5.2% |
| 2017-07-28 beat | 2.23 | 2.28 | +2.1% | +2.2% | +6.9% | -4.1% | -3.9% |
| 2017-04-19 beat | 1.75 | 1.78 | +2.0% | +5.9% | +11.4% | +2.1% | -3.7% |
| 2017-02-15 miss | 1.87 | 1.86 | -0.5% | -3.3% | +2.4% | -6.6% | -11.4% |
| 2016-10-20 miss | 2.15 | 2.06 | -4.3% | -7.5% | -8.9% | -1.5% | +0.3% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 1.93 | 1.96 | +1.7% | +3.3% | +2.8% | -2.2% | -6.0% |
| 2016-04-21 beat | 1.54 | 1.55 | +0.9% | -4.7% | -14.4% | +6.1% | +1.0% |
| 2016-02-24 beat | 1.64 | 1.74 | +6.0% | +2.1% | +7.9% | +0.6% | -6.3% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 1.89 | 2.03 | +7.2% | -2.6% | +3.7% | +5.3% | +7.2% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 1.64 | 1.86 | +13.8% | +2.3% | +4.7% | -1.3% | -8.0% |
| 2015-04-22 beat | 1.24 | 1.39 | +12.3% | +2.4% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +4.2% |
| 2015-02-25 beat | 1.19 | 1.42 | +19.3% | +3.9% | +4.2% | -0.9% | +1.3% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 1.31 | 1.32 | +1.0% | -2.2% | +0.9% | +0.0% | -4.0% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 1.24 | 1.34 | +8.0% | +3.9% | +4.6% | -3.8% | -8.4% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.95 | 1.03 | +8.8% | +2.3% | +1.9% | +6.1% | +8.7% |
| 2014-02-19 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +8.1% | +1.7% | +6.0% | -0.7% | +5.8% |
| 2013-10-23 beat | 1.10 | 1.13 | +2.5% | -5.8% | -8.2% | -2.0% | +3.3% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 0.93 | 1.05 | +13.4% | -0.2% | -3.5% | +10.3% | +12.5% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 0.71 | 0.84 | +17.9% | +6.9% | +3.1% | -0.5% | +8.4% |
| 2013-02-20 beat | 0.66 | 0.74 | +11.4% | +1.3% | -5.7% | -0.2% | +9.3% |
| 2012-10-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.90 | +16.5% | +1.0% | +0.1% | -4.3% | -5.4% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 0.65 | 0.76 | +16.2% | +5.4% | +8.8% | +5.6% | +5.1% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.42 | 0.60 | +43.4% | +4.0% | +7.6% | +0.8% | -5.9% |
| 2012-02-22 beat | 0.38 | 0.48 | +25.8% | +4.7% | -6.4% | +0.9% | +9.1% |
| 2011-10-26 beat | 0.47 | 0.61 | +30.3% | +5.6% | +2.3% | +3.8% | -7.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.