LH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +1.3% | 4.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.5% | 1.6% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.5% | 1.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +2.4% | 4.5% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.77 | 4.99 | +4.7% | -3.0% | +2.7% | +0.3% | +6.2% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 4.12 | 4.25 | +3.3% | +2.9% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 3.94 | 4.07 | +3.2% | -1.7% | -2.1% | +3.8% | -3.9% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 4.14 | 4.18 | +1.0% | -3.9% | -5.8% | -2.8% | +3.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 4.16 | 4.35 | +4.5% | +6.4% | +6.9% | -2.8% | +3.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 3.73 | 3.84 | +2.8% | -3.4% | +4.7% | +1.5% | +2.6% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 3.39 | 3.45 | +1.7% | +1.2% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -1.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3.49 | 3.50 | +0.2% | +2.6% | +4.6% | -0.8% | +4.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 3.77 | 3.94 | +4.5% | +2.1% | +8.3% | -3.7% | -1.5% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 3.48 | 3.68 | +5.7% | -1.5% | -4.6% | +1.0% | +0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.