LH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 4.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 2.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.5% | 1.5% | 35% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | +0.0% | 3.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.77 | 4.99 | +4.7% | -3.0% | +2.7% | +0.3% | +6.2% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 4.12 | 4.25 | +3.3% | +2.9% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 3.94 | 4.07 | +3.2% | -1.7% | -2.1% | +3.8% | -3.9% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 4.14 | 4.18 | +1.0% | -3.9% | -5.8% | -2.8% | +3.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 4.16 | 4.35 | +4.5% | +6.4% | +6.9% | -2.8% | +3.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 3.73 | 3.84 | +2.8% | -3.4% | +4.7% | +1.5% | +2.6% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 3.39 | 3.45 | +1.7% | +1.2% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -1.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3.49 | 3.50 | +0.2% | +2.6% | +4.6% | -0.8% | +4.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 3.77 | 3.94 | +4.5% | +2.1% | +8.3% | -3.7% | -1.5% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 3.48 | 3.68 | +5.7% | -1.5% | -4.6% | +1.0% | +0.7% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 3.26 | 3.30 | +1.3% | -0.5% | -2.6% | -1.3% | -5.7% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 3.33 | 3.38 | +1.5% | +0.9% | +4.2% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 3.45 | 3.42 | -1.0% | -1.7% | -1.3% | -0.4% | -1.8% |
| 2023-04-25 miss | 3.96 | 3.82 | -3.6% | -0.8% | -4.8% | +2.1% | -2.6% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 4.14 | 4.14 | +0.1% | -3.3% | +3.2% | -5.4% | -15.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 4.68 | 4.68 | +0.0% | -7.0% | -5.9% | +3.4% | +10.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 4.68 | 4.96 | +5.9% | -0.4% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -9.2% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 6.00 | 6.11 | +1.8% | -5.4% | -4.9% | +4.7% | +7.2% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 6.00 | 6.77 | +12.9% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -7.2% | -5.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 4.92 | 6.82 | +38.6% | +2.0% | +1.7% | -0.3% | +2.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.