LNW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +1.1% | 7.5% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +1.1% | 2.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | +1.0% | 4.3% | 70% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +3.8% | 8.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.33 | 1.34 | +0.6% | +11.3% | +8.5% | +7.4% | +25.5% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.40 | 1.11 | -20.8% | -17.0% | -14.4% | +13.2% | +14.9% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 1.13 | 0.94 | -16.7% | -7.1% | -14.0% | +3.8% | +9.7% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.95 | 1.20 | +26.5% | +5.1% | +6.9% | -0.2% | -8.5% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | 1.09 | 0.71 | -34.7% | -10.7% | -10.0% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 1.02 | 0.90 | -11.8% | -0.4% | +1.8% | -0.7% | +3.5% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.66 | 0.88 | +32.9% | +0.8% | -5.1% | +3.6% | +5.8% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 0.73 | 0.73 | -0.3% | +3.5% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +4.8% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.40 | 0.81 | +101.0% | +2.5% | +11.2% | -0.7% | -4.9% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 0.34 | -0.01 | -102.9% | -2.9% | +3.3% | +1.6% | +4.0% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -11.2% | +4.5% | +1.4% | +2.0% | +8.5% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | 0.42 | 0.12 | -71.5% | -3.0% | -0.3% | -6.1% | -4.9% |
| 2022-11-09 miss | 0.38 | 0.14 | -62.7% | +5.7% | +7.0% | +11.4% | +12.3% |
| 2022-08-09 miss | 0.06 | -1.62 | -2992.9% | +1.8% | +4.9% | +2.9% | -8.1% |
| 2022-05-10 miss | -0.16 | -0.72 | -361.4% | -4.7% | -0.7% | +5.7% | +6.4% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | -0.35 | 0.58 | +263.8% | +10.9% | +7.6% | -7.0% | -5.3% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | 0.34 | 1.84 | +433.6% | -4.9% | -3.6% | -10.4% | -18.0% |
| 2021-08-09 beat | 0.08 | 0.51 | +530.5% | +5.4% | +9.3% | -0.6% | +1.4% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | -0.43 | 0.06 | +114.8% | -3.6% | -6.9% | +14.2% | +44.4% |
| 2021-03-01 miss | -0.43 | -0.95 | -121.8% | -3.3% | -1.3% | -7.8% | -23.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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