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LNW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 12.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | +0.3% | 4.4% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 3.4% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -1.0% | 15.6% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.33 | 1.34 | +0.6% | +11.3% | +8.5% | +7.4% | +25.5% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.40 | 1.11 | -20.8% | -17.0% | -14.4% | +13.2% | +14.9% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 1.13 | 0.94 | -16.7% | -7.1% | -14.0% | +3.8% | +9.7% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.95 | 1.20 | +26.5% | +5.1% | +6.9% | -0.2% | -8.5% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | 1.09 | 0.71 | -34.7% | -10.7% | -10.0% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 1.02 | 0.90 | -11.8% | -0.4% | +1.8% | -0.7% | +3.5% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.66 | 0.88 | +32.9% | +0.8% | -5.1% | +3.6% | +5.8% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 0.73 | 0.73 | -0.3% | +3.5% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +4.8% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.40 | 0.81 | +101.0% | +2.5% | +11.2% | -0.7% | -4.9% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 0.34 | -0.01 | -102.9% | -2.9% | +3.3% | +1.6% | +4.0% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -11.2% | +4.5% | +1.4% | +2.0% | +8.5% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | 0.42 | 0.12 | -71.5% | -3.0% | -0.3% | -6.1% | -4.9% |
| 2022-11-09 miss | 0.38 | 0.14 | -62.7% | +5.7% | +7.0% | +11.4% | +12.3% |
| 2022-08-09 miss | 0.06 | -1.62 | -2992.9% | +1.8% | +4.9% | +2.9% | -8.1% |
| 2022-05-10 miss | -0.16 | -0.72 | -361.4% | -4.7% | -0.7% | +5.7% | +6.4% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | -0.35 | 0.58 | +263.8% | +10.9% | +7.6% | -7.0% | -5.3% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | 0.34 | 1.84 | +433.6% | -4.9% | -3.6% | -10.4% | -18.0% |
| 2021-08-09 beat | 0.08 | 0.51 | +530.5% | +5.4% | +9.3% | -0.6% | +1.4% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | -0.43 | 0.06 | +114.8% | -3.6% | -6.9% | +14.2% | +44.4% |
| 2021-03-01 miss | -0.43 | -0.95 | -121.8% | -3.3% | -1.3% | -7.8% | -23.0% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | -0.77 | -1.23 | -59.0% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -5.1% | +11.9% |
| 2020-07-23 miss | -1.89 | -2.15 | -14.0% | +5.4% | +12.8% | +2.6% | +17.1% |
| 2020-05-11 miss | -0.22 | -0.72 | -233.9% | -1.5% | -10.2% | +14.8% | +16.6% |
| 2020-02-18 miss | 0.25 | -0.46 | -281.9% | -11.0% | -18.0% | -20.0% | -80.5% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | 0.03 | -0.05 | -305.9% | +3.4% | +17.0% | -5.2% | -13.7% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | -0.03 | -0.15 | -377.9% | -13.3% | -1.1% | -7.9% | -14.5% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | -0.07 | -0.26 | -297.1% | +7.0% | +19.1% | -5.3% | -10.0% |
| 2019-02-21 beat | 0.08 | 2.21 | +2530.9% | +7.8% | +9.7% | +1.1% | -27.0% |
| 2018-11-08 miss | -0.24 | -3.85 | -1507.8% | +10.2% | +25.4% | -25.4% | -38.4% |
| 2018-08-01 miss | -0.03 | -0.06 | -84.6% | -0.1% | -13.6% | -16.2% | -23.4% |
| 2018-05-02 miss | -0.19 | -2.24 | -1101.1% | -8.7% | -3.4% | +2.8% | +16.8% |
| 2018-02-28 miss | -0.17 | -0.20 | -18.6% | -5.7% | -9.1% | +5.6% | +2.7% |
| 2017-11-01 miss | -0.39 | -0.58 | -50.2% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -1.7% | +9.1% |
| 2017-07-24 beat | -0.43 | -0.43 | +0.3% | +5.8% | +27.2% | +8.5% | +1.8% |
| 2017-04-27 miss | -0.67 | -0.70 | -5.5% | +5.0% | +3.7% | -3.4% | -2.5% |
| 2017-03-02 beat | -0.76 | -0.51 | +32.7% | -1.0% | +7.7% | -8.9% | +3.6% |
| 2016-11-03 miss | -0.82 | -1.00 | -22.1% | -3.1% | +1.8% | +9.1% | +29.9% |
| 2016-08-05 miss | -0.70 | -0.79 | -12.6% | -9.3% | -14.1% | +1.8% | +0.8% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | -0.92 | -1.02 | -11.6% | -3.9% | -5.6% | -4.1% | +17.8% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | -0.77 | -0.48 | +37.9% | +26.6% | +34.7% | +16.8% | +6.2% |
| 2015-11-09 beat | -1.18 | -0.85 | +27.8% | -17.5% | -15.9% | -16.3% | -16.3% |
| 2015-08-03 beat | -0.94 | -0.79 | +16.2% | -7.4% | -15.7% | -3.6% | -11.3% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | -1.27 | -0.80 | +36.9% | -1.9% | -9.3% | +5.4% | +31.8% |
| 2015-03-11 miss | -0.47 | -1.19 | -151.8% | +1.4% | -9.2% | -10.6% | -4.2% |
| 2014-10-30 miss | -0.30 | -0.50 | -68.9% | +6.4% | +22.2% | +5.3% | +26.1% |
| 2014-08-05 miss | -0.26 | -0.40 | -54.8% | +0.0% | -12.1% | +11.8% | +61.1% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | -0.06 | -0.28 | -366.7% | -15.0% | -17.1% | +6.0% | +14.3% |
| 2014-03-12 miss | 0.07 | — | -102.2% | +10.4% | +16.4% | -5.3% | -29.5% |
| 2013-11-07 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -43.0% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +2.5% | -4.2% |
| 2013-08-08 miss | 0.02 | -0.02 | -164.9% | -2.7% | +6.0% | +2.5% | +4.1% |
| 2013-05-07 miss | 0.02 | -0.07 | -544.4% | -7.4% | -6.5% | +2.6% | +36.3% |
| 2013-03-11 miss | 0.06 | -0.23 | -516.4% | +0.0% | -6.9% | +3.9% | +3.1% |
| 2012-11-06 miss | 0.07 | -0.08 | -208.4% | -9.5% | -16.6% | -2.6% | +19.3% |
| 2012-08-06 miss | 0.12 | -0.03 | -128.7% | -15.0% | -17.1% | -10.4% | +12.1% |
| 2012-05-09 miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -54.8% | +26.9% | +8.9% | -9.5% | -13.7% |
| 2012-02-28 miss | 0.09 | -0.05 | -148.3% | -6.4% | -14.4% | -2.9% | +10.1% |
| 2011-11-02 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +10.8% | +2.9% | +1.8% | -4.0% | -4.5% |
| 2011-08-09 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +106.4% | +22.9% | +15.5% | +8.9% | +2.9% |
| 2011-05-10 miss | 0.03 | -0.06 | -311.8% | -5.2% | -2.6% | -3.6% | -15.6% |
| 2011-03-01 miss | 0.04 | -0.30 | -885.8% | -1.1% | +4.9% | -3.8% | -7.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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