LNW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | +1.4% | 9.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +1.0% | 1.1% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +2.6% | +1.0% | 3.7% | 90% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +2.7% | 8.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.33 | 1.34 | +0.6% | +11.3% | +8.5% | +7.4% | +25.5% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.40 | 1.11 | -20.8% | -17.0% | -14.4% | +13.2% | +14.9% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 1.13 | 0.94 | -16.7% | -7.1% | -14.0% | +3.8% | +9.7% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.95 | 1.20 | +26.5% | +5.1% | +6.9% | -0.2% | -8.5% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | 1.09 | 0.71 | -34.7% | -10.7% | -10.0% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 1.02 | 0.90 | -11.8% | -0.4% | +1.8% | -0.7% | +3.5% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.66 | 0.88 | +32.9% | +0.8% | -5.1% | +3.6% | +5.8% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 0.73 | 0.73 | -0.3% | +3.5% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +4.8% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.40 | 0.81 | +101.0% | +2.5% | +11.2% | -0.7% | -4.9% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 0.34 | -0.01 | -102.9% | -2.9% | +3.3% | +1.6% | +4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
No sign-up needed — your conversation stays on this browser so you can come back to it.
Follow the callers you actually want to hear from, agree or disagree with a call, and Apes Alpha starts building your feed around it.
Continue with Google
Continue with email
Loading…