LYB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | +0.0% | 3.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.8% | 2.2% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.3% | +1.8% | 2.8% | 80% |
| 5-day | -2.0% | -1.4% | 6.2% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.42 | 4.30 | +25.6% | +1.4% | +2.7% | -4.0% | +4.8% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.28 | 0.49 | +76.1% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -4.3% | -10.2% |
| 2026-01-30 miss | 0.25 | -0.26 | -204.9% | +2.5% | -1.9% | +12.4% | +18.8% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 0.80 | 1.01 | +25.9% | +6.3% | +2.7% | -7.3% | +2.9% |
| 2025-08-01 miss | 0.78 | 0.62 | -20.8% | -0.7% | -7.8% | -8.2% | +4.5% |
| 2025-04-25 miss | 0.43 | 0.33 | -24.0% | -2.9% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -2.5% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +6.8% | +2.3% | -0.6% | +1.2% | -2.9% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 1.96 | 1.88 | -4.3% | +0.4% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -6.7% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 2.22 | 2.24 | +0.8% | -3.1% | -3.8% | +2.6% | +1.4% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 1.37 | 1.53 | +11.3% | +1.7% | +2.5% | -2.9% | -3.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.