LYB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -0.6% | 3.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | +1.4% | 2.1% | 77% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.0% | 5.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.42 | 4.30 | +25.6% | +1.4% | +2.7% | -4.0% | +4.8% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.28 | 0.49 | +76.1% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -4.3% | -10.2% |
| 2026-01-30 miss | 0.25 | -0.26 | -204.9% | +2.5% | -1.9% | +12.4% | +18.8% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 0.80 | 1.01 | +25.9% | +6.3% | +2.7% | -7.3% | +2.9% |
| 2025-08-01 miss | 0.78 | 0.62 | -20.8% | -0.7% | -7.8% | -8.2% | +4.5% |
| 2025-04-25 miss | 0.43 | 0.33 | -24.0% | -2.9% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -2.5% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +6.8% | +2.3% | -0.6% | +1.2% | -2.9% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 1.96 | 1.88 | -4.3% | +0.4% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -6.7% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 2.22 | 2.24 | +0.8% | -3.1% | -3.8% | +2.6% | +1.4% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 1.37 | 1.53 | +11.3% | +1.7% | +2.5% | -2.9% | -3.3% |
| 2024-02-01 miss | 1.34 | 1.26 | -5.8% | -2.1% | -1.8% | +2.7% | +9.3% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 2.01 | 2.46 | +22.3% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +2.5% | +3.8% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 2.30 | 2.44 | +6.1% | -1.3% | -0.7% | +3.6% | +3.1% |
| 2023-04-28 beat | 1.74 | 2.50 | +43.8% | +2.0% | +3.6% | -2.3% | -8.3% |
| 2023-02-03 beat | 1.27 | 1.29 | +1.7% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +1.3% | -5.2% |
| 2022-10-28 miss | 2.93 | 1.96 | -33.2% | -7.5% | -5.5% | +7.3% | +8.8% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | 4.70 | 5.19 | +10.4% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -3.9% | -3.7% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 3.55 | 4.00 | +12.8% | +2.8% | -0.1% | +4.0% | +7.8% |
| 2022-01-28 miss | 3.92 | 2.20 | -43.8% | -0.9% | +0.2% | +4.3% | -2.8% |
| 2021-10-29 miss | 5.73 | 5.25 | -8.3% | -3.5% | -3.7% | +0.2% | -6.1% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 5.62 | 6.12 | +8.8% | -2.6% | -1.2% | +0.1% | +2.6% |
| 2021-04-30 beat | 2.65 | 3.20 | +20.7% | +1.2% | +4.0% | +5.2% | +7.4% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 1.33 | 2.19 | +64.5% | +1.5% | -1.7% | +8.7% | +25.8% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 1.13 | 1.27 | +12.0% | -2.5% | -5.2% | +6.2% | +25.3% |
| 2020-07-31 miss | 0.69 | 0.68 | -1.6% | -1.7% | -4.2% | +6.7% | +4.7% |
| 2020-05-01 beat | 1.44 | 1.47 | +2.4% | -1.7% | -4.8% | +2.3% | +24.0% |
| 2020-01-31 miss | 2.25 | 1.91 | -15.2% | -3.9% | -6.7% | +5.4% | -7.2% |
| 2019-11-01 miss | 2.76 | 2.60 | -5.7% | +2.9% | +4.3% | +4.0% | -2.0% |
| 2019-08-02 miss | 2.84 | 2.74 | -3.5% | -1.8% | -6.6% | -0.9% | -1.7% |
| 2019-04-26 beat | 2.19 | 2.22 | +1.4% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -12.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.