M chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.6% | +2.3% | 9.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | -0.3% | 5.3% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 3.5% | 53% |
| 5-day | +4.5% | +2.5% | 12.2% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.7% | -5.9% | -4.7% | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 beat | 0.03 | 0.13 | +360.0% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +6.2% | +8.6% |
| 2026-03-18 beat | 1.56 | 1.67 | +6.8% | +4.0% | +4.7% | +4.4% | +10.3% |
| 2025-12-03 beat | -0.13 | 0.09 | +168.2% | -5.8% | -1.1% | +3.6% | +1.7% |
| 2025-09-03 beat | 0.19 | 0.31 | +66.2% | +14.4% | +20.7% | +4.7% | +11.7% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +6.6% | +3.8% | -0.3% | -4.6% | -5.4% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | 1.54 | 1.80 | +16.7% | -5.0% | -0.7% | +3.2% | -13.9% |
| 2024-12-11 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +58.9% | -10.9% | -0.8% | -4.4% | -15.4% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 0.29 | 0.53 | +80.0% | -10.3% | -12.9% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2024-05-21 beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +60.2% | +2.6% | +5.1% | -1.6% | -8.9% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 1.99 | 2.45 | +23.3% | -0.5% | +3.4% | +1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 0.01 | 0.21 | +3483.6% | +12.6% | +5.7% | +11.6% | +50.5% |
| 2023-08-22 beat | 0.14 | 0.26 | +90.0% | -7.6% | -14.1% | -3.2% | -14.4% |
| 2023-06-01 beat | 0.46 | 0.56 | +22.9% | -3.8% | +1.2% | +16.5% | +19.9% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 1.59 | 1.88 | +18.0% | +5.6% | +11.1% | -9.8% | -23.0% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 0.19 | 0.52 | +174.8% | +7.4% | +15.0% | +4.3% | -11.2% |
| 2022-08-23 beat | 0.88 | 1.00 | +13.6% | +2.0% | +3.8% | -7.8% | -18.2% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 0.82 | 1.08 | +31.5% | +14.8% | +19.3% | +3.9% | -15.4% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 1.99 | 2.45 | +22.9% | +2.8% | -5.0% | +0.5% | +5.4% |
| 2021-11-18 beat | 0.33 | 1.23 | +275.5% | +13.4% | +21.2% | -18.4% | -36.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.