M chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.3% | 9.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.0% | 3.8% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 3.2% | 54% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +2.0% | 11.7% | 56% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.7% | -5.9% | -4.7% | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 beat | 0.03 | 0.13 | +360.0% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +6.2% | +8.6% |
| 2026-03-18 beat | 1.56 | 1.67 | +6.8% | +4.0% | +4.7% | +4.4% | +10.3% |
| 2025-12-03 beat | -0.13 | 0.09 | +168.2% | -5.8% | -1.1% | +3.6% | +1.7% |
| 2025-09-03 beat | 0.19 | 0.31 | +66.2% | +14.4% | +20.7% | +4.7% | +11.7% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +6.6% | +3.8% | -0.3% | -4.6% | -5.4% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | 1.54 | 1.80 | +16.7% | -5.0% | -0.7% | +3.2% | -13.9% |
| 2024-12-11 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +58.9% | -10.9% | -0.8% | -4.4% | -15.4% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 0.29 | 0.53 | +80.0% | -10.3% | -12.9% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2024-05-21 beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +60.2% | +2.6% | +5.1% | -1.6% | -8.9% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 1.99 | 2.45 | +23.3% | -0.5% | +3.4% | +1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 0.01 | 0.21 | +3483.6% | +12.6% | +5.7% | +11.6% | +50.5% |
| 2023-08-22 beat | 0.14 | 0.26 | +90.0% | -7.6% | -14.1% | -3.2% | -14.4% |
| 2023-06-01 beat | 0.46 | 0.56 | +22.9% | -3.8% | +1.2% | +16.5% | +19.9% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 1.59 | 1.88 | +18.0% | +5.6% | +11.1% | -9.8% | -23.0% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 0.19 | 0.52 | +174.8% | +7.4% | +15.0% | +4.3% | -11.2% |
| 2022-08-23 beat | 0.88 | 1.00 | +13.6% | +2.0% | +3.8% | -7.8% | -18.2% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 0.82 | 1.08 | +31.5% | +14.8% | +19.3% | +3.9% | -15.4% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 1.99 | 2.45 | +22.9% | +2.8% | -5.0% | +0.5% | +5.4% |
| 2021-11-18 beat | 0.33 | 1.23 | +275.5% | +13.4% | +21.2% | -18.4% | -36.9% |
| 2021-08-19 beat | 0.18 | 1.29 | +605.6% | +6.5% | +19.6% | +4.3% | -0.2% |
| 2021-05-18 beat | -0.39 | 0.39 | +200.7% | +1.5% | -0.4% | -5.9% | -5.0% |
| 2021-02-23 beat | 0.11 | 0.80 | +612.3% | +0.2% | +3.9% | -4.1% | -3.9% |
| 2020-11-19 beat | -0.78 | -0.19 | +75.8% | -5.2% | +2.1% | +18.2% | +13.9% |
| 2020-09-01 beat | -1.74 | -0.81 | +53.4% | +6.3% | +0.6% | +5.0% | -14.8% |
| 2020-07-01 beat | -2.15 | -2.03 | +5.4% | -0.3% | -4.4% | +0.8% | -7.9% |
| 2020-02-25 beat | 1.96 | 2.12 | +8.0% | +1.4% | -5.5% | -13.4% | -54.7% |
| 2019-11-21 beat | — | 0.07 | +3156.8% | -3.5% | -2.3% | +4.4% | +10.4% |
| 2019-08-14 miss | 0.45 | 0.28 | -38.1% | -15.3% | -13.2% | -8.5% | +2.0% |
| 2019-05-15 beat | 0.34 | 0.44 | +28.1% | +2.1% | -0.5% | +0.7% | -0.6% |
| 2019-02-26 beat | 2.53 | 2.73 | +8.0% | +0.6% | +1.5% | -1.4% | -1.6% |
| 2018-11-14 beat | 0.14 | 0.27 | +92.6% | -1.7% | -7.2% | -1.9% | -8.9% |
| 2018-08-15 beat | 0.50 | 0.70 | +39.3% | -6.9% | -15.9% | +6.8% | +3.2% |
| 2018-05-16 beat | 0.35 | 0.48 | +35.3% | +6.8% | +10.8% | +0.9% | +15.4% |
| 2018-02-27 beat | 2.68 | 2.82 | +5.3% | +8.5% | +3.5% | +6.9% | +2.4% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +13.6% | +2.5% | +11.0% | +3.8% | +32.8% |
| 2017-08-10 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +2.1% | -1.8% | -10.2% | -5.1% | +3.9% |
| 2017-05-11 miss | 0.36 | 0.24 | -32.7% | -9.7% | -17.0% | -6.5% | -6.9% |
| 2017-02-21 beat | 1.95 | 2.02 | +3.5% | +2.4% | +0.0% | +2.9% | -12.1% |
| 2016-11-10 miss | 0.41 | 0.17 | -58.5% | +4.2% | +5.6% | +6.2% | -0.2% |
| 2016-08-11 beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +13.2% | +14.4% | +17.1% | +1.1% | -10.4% |
| 2016-05-11 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +6.3% | +0.0% | -15.2% | -4.2% | +5.9% |
| 2016-02-23 beat | 1.88 | 1.92 | +1.9% | +2.3% | +3.0% | +3.3% | +2.6% |
| 2015-11-11 beat | 0.53 | 0.56 | +6.6% | -9.3% | -14.0% | -3.8% | -9.1% |
| 2015-08-12 miss | 0.76 | 0.64 | -15.9% | -1.5% | -5.1% | -2.7% | -9.2% |
| 2015-05-13 miss | 0.62 | 0.56 | -10.2% | -2.4% | -2.4% | +7.0% | +9.2% |
| 2015-02-24 beat | 2.40 | 2.44 | +1.6% | +0.1% | -3.2% | +2.2% | +4.2% |
| 2014-11-12 beat | 0.50 | 0.61 | +21.2% | +1.1% | +5.1% | +0.6% | +1.3% |
| 2014-08-13 miss | 0.86 | 0.80 | -7.3% | -5.1% | -5.5% | +6.4% | +5.5% |
| 2014-05-14 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.3% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.8% | -0.7% |
| 2014-02-25 beat | 2.17 | 2.31 | +6.5% | +1.1% | +6.0% | +2.5% | +3.3% |
| 2013-11-13 beat | 0.39 | 0.47 | +20.2% | +7.2% | +9.4% | +0.6% | +1.4% |
| 2013-08-14 miss | 0.78 | 0.72 | -7.6% | -3.7% | -4.5% | -3.0% | -3.5% |
| 2013-05-15 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.4% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +0.9% | -0.2% |
| 2013-02-26 beat | 1.98 | 2.05 | +3.5% | +4.2% | +2.8% | +5.4% | +5.4% |
| 2012-11-07 beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +21.6% | -1.1% | -2.2% | -3.8% | -2.6% |
| 2012-08-08 beat | 0.64 | 0.67 | +4.3% | +3.1% | +2.7% | +1.4% | +6.4% |
| 2012-05-09 beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +8.9% | -5.1% | -3.7% | -2.0% | -2.2% |
| 2012-02-21 beat | 1.65 | 1.70 | +3.2% | +3.8% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +10.3% |
| 2011-11-09 beat | 0.16 | 0.32 | +102.5% | -4.2% | -5.3% | +0.9% | +7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.