M chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | -0.5% | 8.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +2.3% | +1.1% | 3.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 2.5% | 56% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | +2.5% | 11.1% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.7% | -5.9% | -4.7% | — | — |
| 2026-06-03 beat | 0.03 | 0.13 | +360.0% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +6.2% | +8.6% |
| 2026-03-18 beat | 1.56 | 1.67 | +6.8% | +4.0% | +4.7% | +4.4% | +10.3% |
| 2025-12-03 beat | -0.13 | 0.09 | +168.2% | -5.8% | -1.1% | +3.6% | +1.7% |
| 2025-09-03 beat | 0.19 | 0.31 | +66.2% | +14.4% | +20.7% | +4.7% | +11.7% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +6.6% | +3.8% | -0.3% | -4.6% | -5.4% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | 1.54 | 1.80 | +16.7% | -5.0% | -0.7% | +3.2% | -13.9% |
| 2024-12-11 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +58.9% | -10.9% | -0.8% | -4.4% | -15.4% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 0.29 | 0.53 | +80.0% | -10.3% | -12.9% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2024-05-21 beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +60.2% | +2.6% | +5.1% | -1.6% | -8.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.