MA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 2.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.5% | 1.3% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.4% | 1.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +0.8% | 2.8% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 4.78 | 5.04 | +5.5% | +2.5% | +2.5% | -0.2% | +3.1% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 4.41 | 4.60 | +4.2% | -3.9% | -4.2% | -0.4% | -1.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 4.24 | 4.76 | +12.3% | +2.0% | +4.3% | +1.5% | -4.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 4.31 | 4.38 | +1.5% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -1.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 4.02 | 4.15 | +3.1% | +1.7% | +1.3% | -0.9% | +5.1% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 3.56 | 3.73 | +4.8% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +3.7% | +6.3% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 3.69 | 3.82 | +3.5% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 3.75 | 3.89 | +3.9% | +1.5% | -2.7% | +3.7% | +6.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 3.51 | 3.59 | +2.3% | +3.3% | +3.6% | -3.0% | +3.7% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 3.24 | 3.31 | +2.2% | -1.2% | -2.0% | +2.9% | +1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.